Protest Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Bates College Bates College Saltcats 1 53
2 Bates College Bates College Saltcats 2 81
3 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 88
4 Bates College Bates College Saltcats 3 125
5 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 157
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons A 1 1 1 3 5 1 3 1 3 19 Dane Phippen '23
Jordan Morris '23
Bates College Bates College Saltcats 1 A 3 2 2 2 1 4 2 2 1 19 Harry Stevenson '24
Olivia Demerath '23
Bates College Bates College Saltcats 2 A 4 4 4 1 3 2 1 3 2 24 Greta Shuster '25
Alex Provasnik '25
Bates College Bates College Saltcats 1 B 2 3 3 4 2 7 4 5 4 34 Samantha Manogue '26
Alli Fischman '23
Bates College Bates College Saltcats 2 B 5 5 5 8 8 5 6 7 8 57 Gray Dinsel '25 [1-9]
Oliver Rhee '25 [1-3, 7-9]
Wyatt Weekes '25 [4-6]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards A 6 6 6 7 9 9 5 4 6 58 Matthew Yoder '23 [1-6]
Dominic Ioime '23 [7-9]
Dominic Ioime '23 [1-6]
Matthew Yoder '23 [7-9]
Bates College Bates College Saltcats 3 A 7 7 8 5 7 3 7 8 9 61 John Hull '26
Kelly Siegal '26
Bates College Bates College Saltcats 3 B 9 8 9 6 4 6 8 9 5 64 Mitchel Soederberg '25
Colby Michaud '25
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons B 8 9 7 9 6 8 9 6 7 69 Ryan Divelbiss '26
Carolina Morlion '23
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 99 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Bates CollegeBates College Saltcats 1111222333
Bates CollegeBates College Saltcats 2222111101010
Bates CollegeBates College Saltcats 3333444555
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons444333222
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards555666777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Bates CollegeBates College Saltcats 1666555444
Bates CollegeBates College Saltcats 2777888999
Bates CollegeBates College Saltcats 3888777666
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons999101010111
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards101010999888

Conditions — 10/09/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From WSW (256°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bates: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.60 ± 0.34)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bates by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Bates, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →