SAISA Fall Women's Sprint

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 19 19
2 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 1 22 22
3 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 28 28
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 29 29
5 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 42 42
6 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 1 55 55
7 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 2 59 59
8 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 101 MRP 101 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 2 4 2 4 1 3 1 19 Tia Soultanakis '26
Anna O'Reilly '25
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 1 7 2 1 1 3 1 3 1 3 22 Sofia Scarpa '26
Suzie Dixon '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 4 3 3 1 2 2 7 4 28 Ka Hamner '26
Zi Burns '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 5 4 2 4 3 4 2 2 29 Ayla Weisberg '25
Annette Breton '26
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 4 3 5 5 6 5 5 4 5 42 Annslee Maloy '26
Mary Macdonald '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 1 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 55 Kathleen Perry '24
Abigail Lydick '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 2 6 7 OCS 6 5 7 7 5 7 59 Samantha Piccerillo '25
Paige Arneson '25
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 101 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111222333
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles 1222333444
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles 2333444555
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers 1444555666
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers 2555666777
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs777888111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars666777888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls888111222

Conditions — 10/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From N (9°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida Tech: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Florida Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →