SAISA North Top 6 Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 15 7 22
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 20 11 31
3 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 13 31 44
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 26 20 46
5 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 31 23 54
6 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 21 34 55
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 3 2 1 3 2 2 13 Gregory Walters '24
Brooke Cheatham '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 2 2 3 6 15 Harrison Thomson '26
Marina Dryer '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 6 3 5 1 3 20 Jacob Usher '25
Jacob Friend '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 3 6 1 5 1 21 Sarah Weese '24 [1-2, 6]
Brooke Zell '25 [3-5]
Brooke Zell '25 [1-2, 6]
Sarah Weese '24 [3-5]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 4 4 6 4 4 26 Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25
Sofia Moreno '25
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 6 5 5 4 6 5 31 Elijah Healy '26 [1-3]
Gavin Valentine '26 [4-6]
Ashlyn Cowgill '23 [1-3]
Joaquin Marquez '24 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 2 1 1 7 Diego Carvajal '26
Anna Galli '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 2 2 1 2 2 11 Robert Chase '26
Lulu Holtz '24
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 4 3 3 3 3 20 Lauren Mellinger '25
Hector Mur Lopez '25
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 3 3 4 4 4 5 23 William Rux '26
Christian Pegouske '23
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 5 5 5 6 6 4 31 Malcolm Mcalister '23 [1-6]
Carolyn Staples '25 [1-3]
William Moran '23 [4-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 6 6 5 5 6 34 Edward Ryan '23
Garrett Holt '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers111333
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222444
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs555111
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs666222
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets333555
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers222444
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars333555
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs666222
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs111333
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets444666
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555111

Conditions — 09/17/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover12% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1021.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.52 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →