Buckeye Invite Fall 2023

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 9 4 13
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 8 10 18
3 Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 11 22 33
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 19 24 43
5 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 23 28 51
6 Vikes Vikes Vikes 33 20 53
7 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 35 29 64
8 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 36 MRP 46 MRP 82 MRP
9 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 34 48 82
10 Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 46 42 88
11 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 52 MRP 37 MRP 89 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 3 2 2 8 Will Ayers '27
Alexandra Lacerda-Jones '27
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 3 2 3 1 9 Nicholas Barillari '26
Alexa Quinn '26
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 2 1 4 4 11 Andrew Liu '27
Jordi Malaret '27
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 5 5 3 19 Ryan Dodge '26
Ella Beck '26
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 7 4 6 6 23 Mansvi Soni '27
Iain Mcsweeney '25
Vikes Vikes Vikes 8 10 8 7 33
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 10 9 7 8 34 Kent Colbrunn '24 [1-4]
Caroline Henry '27 [1-2]
Mia Del Duco '27 [3-4]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 9 7 9 10 35 Kieran Boetger '27 [1-4]
Skyler Fokine '27 [1-2]
Andrew Champagne '26 [3-4]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 4 6 1 5 36 MRP Mason Shaw '26 [1-4]
Jb Settcase '25 [1-2]
Dylan Jones '27 [3-4]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 11 11 DNF DNS 46 Avie Krauss '24
Seth Kintner '27
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 5 8 10 9 52 MRP Emily Williams '25 [1-4]
Melissa Driscoll '24 [1-2]
Emma Leidheiser '27 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 1 1 1 1 4 Reed Porter '25
Matthew Back '24
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 2 4 2 10 Adrian Stone '25 [1-2, 4]
Glen Warren '26 [3]
Eric D'Urso '26 [1-2, 4]
Adrian Stone '25 [3]
Vikes Vikes Vikes 4 7 3 6 20
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 7 5 5 5 22 Raaghuv Vazirani '26
Benjamin Armstead '26
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 8 6 7 3 24 Alexander Maas '24 [1-4]
Shriya Deshmukh '24 [1-2]
Austin Sjaarda '27 [3-4]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 9 9 6 4 28 Nicholas Silecky '25
Nicholas Armantrout '26
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 6 8 8 7 29 Mo Snyder '26 [1-4]
Naylan Pool '26 [1-2]
Grace Vance '26 [3-4]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 3 3 2 9 37 MRP Alexandra Avery '26 [1-4]
Molly Sheridan '25 [1-2]
Kayla Decker '27 [3-4]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals DNF 10 10 10 42 Piper Luke '26
Adam Bryan '26
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 5 4 9 8 46 MRP Marlie Boiston '26 [1-4]
Jacob Suter '25 [1-2]
Benjamin Conrad '26 [3-4]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen DNS DNS DNS DNS 48 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans1144
VikesVikes Vikes3377
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen4499
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks771212
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines212111
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans991313
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats17172121
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 112121717
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 213132020
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals20202222
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets222233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans3377
VikesVikes Vikes4499
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen771212
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks991313
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines222233
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans12121717
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats20202222
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 113132020
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 217172121
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals212111
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets1144

Conditions — 09/16/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.4 kn
avg  ·  max 2.9 kn
Gusts to 8.9 kn
From SSE (149°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn · NW 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.26)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.26 means a rating gap counts about 23% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →