SAISA Women's Sprint

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 15 15
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 23 23
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 24 24
4 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 31 31
5 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 44 44
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 3 15 Briana Hummel '27 [1-9]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [1-3]
Danielle Ketner '26 [4-9]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 2 3 4 2 4 2 1 1 4 23 Sarah Schuringa '24
Cora Johnson '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 1 2 3 3 4 4 3 1 24 Jordan Macmoyle '25
Ochithya Fernando '25
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 4 4 3 4 5 3 2 4 2 31 Annslee Maloy '26
Lara Sloep '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 5 5 5 5 2 5 DNF DNS 5 44 Kathleen Perry '24
Sunny Odom '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles444666777
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers666777888
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 1777888999
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 2888999444
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls999444666

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1012.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Florida Tech: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+1.01 ± 0.48)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Florida Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →