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Acton Up Fall 2024

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 1 24 23 47
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 47 14 61
3 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 35 40 75
4 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 2 40 48 88
5 Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 34 MRP 55 MRP 89 MRP
6 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 70 MRP 70 MRP 140 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 1 2 3 2 2 5 3 2 2 2 1 24 Reed Porter '25
Simon Peroulas '28
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 34 MRP Andrew Liu '27
Jasper Jacobs '27
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 1 2 3 3 3 4 6 5 3 5 35 Michael Mignogna '27
Jb Settcase '25
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 2 4 4 5 5 4 2 4 3 5 4 40 Annabelle Maccartee '25
Tiegan Witte '24
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 5 5 4 4 1 5 5 6 6 6 47 Emma Leidheiser '27
Hazel Zielinski '27
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 6 6 6 6 6 6 3 4 4 3 70 MRP Finn Rowan '28
Alya Macmanaway '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 14 Emma Hershey '27
Savannah Shaw '28
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 6 2 2 2 23 Jenna Drobny '27
Elizabeth Zuchold '28
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 3 3 5 4 6 6 4 1 4 4 40 Dylan Jones '27
Joe Stroup '27
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 2 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 4 6 5 48 Henry Wilson '28 [1-8]
Griffin Boothby '25 [9-10]
Rachel Beard '28 [1-5]
Joey Elbana '28 [6-10]
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 4 5 3 2 5 3 2 5 3 3 55 MRP Jordi Malaret '27
James Posillico '27
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 6 6 6 5 3 4 3 6 5 6 70 MRP Luka Stanic '26 [1-10]
Henry Lennington '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Scott Schoeman '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans11335511
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers22446622
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks 133551133
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks 244662244
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 155113355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 266224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans22446622
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers33551133
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks 144662244
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks 255113355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 166224466
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 211335511

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From ESE (123°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1022.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Miami University: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Miami University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Miami University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →