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Boudeman Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 14 19 33
2 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 21 24 45
3 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 17 29 46
4 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 30 17 47
5 Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 38 33 71
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 2 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 14 Jack Charlton '27
Lucas Posthumus Meyjes '27
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 1 3 1 2 3 3 3 17 George Prokop '28 [1-8]
Thomas Weykamp '28 [1-6]
Jackie Wojcik '25 [7-8]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 4 2 2 3 4 4 1 1 21 William O'Haver '27 [1-8]
Evan Simpson '26 [1-6]
Drew Lyman '27 [7-8]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 3 5 5 4 3 2 4 4 30 Kate Heaman '28
Gissell Tellez '28
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 38 Adam Bryan '26
Madison Koscielski '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 1 1 1 2 3 5 3 1 17 Sebastian Roudabush '24 [1-8]
Ailey Mcintyre '28 [1-4]
Matthew Wreschinsky '27 [5-8]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 DNS 2 4 1 1 1 1 3 19 Natalie Scherf '27
Meg Tenpas '28
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 3 4 3 4 2 2 2 4 24 Grace Vanstratt '28 [1-8]
Kirsten Tiedeman '27 [1-2]
Emily Edwards '26 [3-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 5 2 5 4 3 DNS 2 29 Austin Sjaarda '27
Alex Blair '26
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 4 3 5 3 5 4 4 5 33 Piper Luke '26 [1-6]
Luiza Wernz Muller '25 [7-8]
Elijah Sylvester '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Luiza Wernz Muller '25 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans11446633
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals33551144
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 144663355
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 255114466
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 366335511

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans33551144
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals44663355
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 155114466
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 266335511
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 311446633

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1017.0 hPa Rain0.31 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn · E 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Michigan: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.23 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Western Michigan: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →