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Kilpatrick Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 1 15 19 34
2 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 2 24 29 53
3 University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 35 MRP 27 MRP 62 MRP
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 30 MRP 38 MRP 68 MRP
5 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 46 MRP 37 MRP 83 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 1 2 5 2 1 3 2 15 Robert Scheer '27
Abe Pankratz '25
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 2 5 3 5 3 4 4 24 Allie Depperschmidt '27
Keifer Yim '28
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 2 1 2 1 3 30 MRP Dennis Kostjuhin '27
Karthik Pelleti '28
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 4 1 3 4 2 1 35 MRP Caidan Stecklein '26
Mira Hayes '26
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 3 4 4 5 5 5 46 MRP Makenzie Benedict '26 [1-6]
Daniel Starks '25 [1-2]
Kalvin Gutierrez '27 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 1 2 4 3 5 2 3 19 Iris Miculek '28
Evann Greene '25
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 1 1 2 1 1 1 27 MRP Joeseph Dunning '27
Rory Mitchell '27
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 2 5 5 5 4 5 5 29 Cassandra Darley '28
Marion Berzansky '26
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 3 2 1 3 4 4 37 MRP Ana Savva Garcia '24 [1-4]
Blaise Bostwick '28 [5-6]
Blaise Bostwick '28 [1-4]
Ana Savva Garcia '24 [5-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 4 3 4 2 3 2 38 MRP Sean Padilla '27
Shrikar Tatavarty '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos112233
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks 1223344
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks 2551122
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooners445511
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos551122
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks 1445511
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks 2112233
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooners334455
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns223344

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From S (187°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1017.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · N 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Central Oklahoma: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.23 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Central Oklahoma by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Central Oklahoma: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →