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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 3 17 16 33
2 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 30 13 43
3 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 22 32 54
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 26 31 57
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 27 36 63
6 Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 46 41 87
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 3 3 1 1 3 2 4 1 2 17 Megan Pedersen '29
Connor Lawrence '26
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 1 2 5 4 4 2 3 1 22 Silas Hokanson '26 [1-8]
Hadley Zeller '26 [1-6]
Alex Bird '28 [7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 5 4 1 1 1 6 6 26 Gabrielle Mccall '28
Avery Workman '29
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 4 2 2 3 5 2 4 27 Milo Fernandez '28
Elisa Trevino '28
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 4 3 3 5 5 3 4 3 30 Henrik Stjernfeldt '27
Annette Wadley '26
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 46 Adam Bryan '26 [1-8]
Elijah Sylvester '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Madison Koscielski '26 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 2 1 13 Max Liu '26
Yousif Alhajji '27
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 3 2 3 1 1 2 4 1 2 16 Charlotte Bach '28
Sydney Ingraham '29
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 4 4 2 3 5 5 5 3 31 Ava Bradd '26
Claudia Nichols '27
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 3 OCS 3 5 4 2 3 5 32 John O’Connell '28
Miranda Odio '29
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 6 5 5 4 3 3 6 4 36 Jordan Raizer '26 [1-8]
Aekam Kaur '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Samuel Adeyemi '28 [3-4]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 5 2 6 6 6 6 4 6 41 Joshua Wilcox '28 [1-8]
Lauren Cleckner '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Rebecca Koch '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles11335511
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats22446622
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 133551133
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 244662244
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 355113355
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals66224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles22446622
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats33551133
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 144662244
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 255113355
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers 366224466
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals11335511
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Gabrielle Mccall '28 Avery Workman '29
Golden Eagles Ava Bradd '26 Claudia Nichols '27
Northwestern University Northwestern University Milo Fernandez '28 Elisa Trevino '28
Wildcats Jordan Raizer '26 [1-8] Aekam Kaur '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Samuel Adeyemi '28 [3-4]
Purdue University Purdue University Henrik Stjernfeldt '27 Annette Wadley '26
Boilermakers 1 Max Liu '26 Yousif Alhajji '27
Purdue University Purdue University Silas Hokanson '26 [1-8] Hadley Zeller '26 [1-6]
Alex Bird '28 [7-8]
Boilermakers 2 John O’Connell '28 Miranda Odio '29
Purdue University Purdue University Megan Pedersen '29 Connor Lawrence '26
Boilermakers 3 Charlotte Bach '28 Sydney Ingraham '29
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Adam Bryan '26 [1-8] Elijah Sylvester '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Madison Koscielski '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Cardinals Joshua Wilcox '28 [1-8] Lauren Cleckner '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Rebecca Koch '28 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From SE (131°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine8.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1017.9 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn · S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Purdue: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.22 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.32
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Purdue by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Purdue, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →