Kingsmill Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 17 10 27
2 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 15 18 33
3 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 23 13 36
4 American University American University Eagles 15 22 37
5 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 25 28 53
6 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 31 36 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 2 1 5 4 2 1 15 James Lilyquist '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Heckler '26 [3-4]
Arturo Soriano Iii '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Kayleigh Kalagher '26 [3-4]
American University American University Eagles 4 3 2 1 3 2 15 Hannah Arey '27 [1-6]
Katherine Anderson '27 [1-2]
Elin Boyce '29 [3-4]
Keira Cowher '29 [5-6]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 1 6 4 2 1 3 17 Charlotte Stillman '27
Meredith Endres '26
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 2 6 3 5 4 23 Henry Myrick '26 [1-6]
Abigail Burritt '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Aliyah Oakley '27 [3-4]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 4 1 6 4 5 25 Lara Nielsen '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Anthony Thonnard '26 [3-4]
Carmen Benitez '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Eli Leopold '28 [3-4]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 6 5 3 5 6 6 31 John Anthony Caraig '27 [1-6]
Erin Finan '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Kateri Russell '28 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 2 2 1 1 1 3 10 Eric Johnson '27
Alexa Bodor '26
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 1 2 3 3 1 13 Morgan Rathjen '28
Claire Calkins '28
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 4 5 4 2 2 18 Zachary Bender '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Evangeline Barras '28 [3-4]
Emily Mock '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Colin Peters '27 [3-4]
American University American University Eagles 4 3 3 2 4 6 22 Ryan Curtis '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Lorson '27 [3-4]
Ella Napolitano '26 [1-2]
Elizabeth Hopper '26 [3-4]
Jonah Tinkelman '28 [5-6]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 5 4 5 5 4 28 Caroline Fuller '28 [1-6]
Linnea Spear '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Linnea Wurdack '28 [3-4]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 6 6 DNF 6 6 5 36 Christian Aron '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Harrison Blahunka '26 [3-4]
Luc Vanraes '28 [1-2]
Tia Victoria Santicola Jones '28 [3-4]
Emma Mcalarney '28 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles113355
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals224466
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps335511
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos446622
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies551133
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe662244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles224466
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals335511
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps446622
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos551133
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies662244
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Hannah Arey '27 [1-6] Katherine Anderson '27 [1-2]
Elin Boyce '29 [3-4]
Keira Cowher '29 [5-6]
Eagles Ryan Curtis '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Lorson '27 [3-4]
Ella Napolitano '26 [1-2]
Elizabeth Hopper '26 [3-4]
Jonah Tinkelman '28 [5-6]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America John Anthony Caraig '27 [1-6] Erin Finan '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Kateri Russell '28 [3-4]
Cardinals Christian Aron '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Harrison Blahunka '26 [3-4]
Luc Vanraes '28 [1-2]
Tia Victoria Santicola Jones '28 [3-4]
Emma Mcalarney '28 [5-6]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Lara Nielsen '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Anthony Thonnard '26 [3-4]
Carmen Benitez '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Eli Leopold '28 [3-4]
Terps Caroline Fuller '28 [1-6] Linnea Spear '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Linnea Wurdack '28 [3-4]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Henry Myrick '26 [1-6] Abigail Burritt '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Aliyah Oakley '27 [3-4]
Wahoos Morgan Rathjen '28 Claire Calkins '28
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech James Lilyquist '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Heckler '26 [3-4]
Arturo Soriano Iii '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Kayleigh Kalagher '26 [3-4]
Hokies Zachary Bender '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Evangeline Barras '28 [3-4]
Emily Mock '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Colin Peters '27 [3-4]
William and Mary William and Mary Charlotte Stillman '27 Meredith Endres '26
Tribe Eric Johnson '27 Alexa Bodor '26

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From NE (51°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn · NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at William and Mary: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at William and Mary by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at William and Mary, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →