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Carin Streufert Memorial Regatta

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 19 9 28
2 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 2 21 37 58
3 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 1 23 44 67
4 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 55 27 82
5 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 40 45 85
6 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 1 56 31 87
7 University of Nebraska Lincoln University of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers 56 43 99
8 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 42 58 100
9 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 2 65 63 128
10 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 68 87 155
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 3 5 2 4 1 2 1 1 19 Hayden Johansen '27
Sheroz Ganiev '28
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 2 1 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 21 Will Turner '28
Landyn Spade '29
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 1 2 2 4 2 2 4 4 3 23 Marco Constantini '27 [1-8]
Addie Sylvester '31 [1-4]
Jenny Leitz '27 [5-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 4 1 1 1 6 9 7 DNF 40 Thomas Marino '27 [1-4]
Kyeongeon Kim '30 [5-8]
Kyeongeon Kim '30 [1-4]
Vamika Smith '30 [5-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 5 6 5 DNF 7 1 3 4 42 Charlie Weikel '30
Wyatt Swanson '28
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 10 9 9 8 4 5 5 5 55 Astrid Myhre '28
Stella Porreca '29
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 1 6 8 7 7 5 6 9 8 56 Edwin Tjardes '28
Jacob Madera '28
University of Nebraska Lincoln University of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers 8 3 6 5 10 8 10 6 56 Austin Smith '28 [1-4]
Peter Cook '28 [5-8]
Fisher Cyza '28 [1-8]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 2 9 10 8 6 9 10 6 7 65 Aidan Zander '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Aiden Truesdell '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Mason Knight '28 [1-8]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 7 7 DNS DNS 8 7 8 9 68 Leila Montoya '28
Ian Makarych '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 9 Beckett Sabanosh '29
Phoebe Poremba '27
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 3 2 3 4 3 4 2 6 27 Cash Bilton '27
Charles Regan '28
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 1 4 3 4 RDG 5 6 3 2 31 Brent Stauffer '28
Thomas Debruin '28
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 2 2 4 2 6 6 5 9 3 37 Keith Wright '29
Chase Squeo '28
University of Nebraska Lincoln University of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers 6 6 6 7 4 2 8 4 43 Peter Cook '28 [1-2]
Austin Smith '28 [3-8]
Thomas Cowan '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Bettey '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 1 7 5 7 3 2 7 6 7 44 Billy Grossett '30
Sierra Snyder '28
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 5 DNF 5 1 8 3 4 8 45 Elias Bellver Albareda '27 [1-8]
Ester Dinets '29 [1-2]
Ben Savageau '29 [3-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 8 8 8 5 7 8 5 9 58 Ian Young '29
Elizabeth Kirkland '27
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 2 9 7 9 8 9 9 7 5 63 Youssef Bouguerra '29 [1-8]
Gwendolyn Ellis '28 [1-4, 7-8]
William Reilly '29 [5-6]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies DNF DNS DNS DNS 10 DNS DNS DNS 87 Anna Mary Southern '28
Abdallah Aldwaik '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes 1881010121244
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes 2991111131355
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles4466881010
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One5577991111
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 1101012124466
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 2111113135577
University of Nebraska LincolnUniversity of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers1212446688
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats 1668810101212
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats 2779911111313
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies1313557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes 1991111131355
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes 2101012124466
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles5577991111
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One668810101212
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 1111113135577
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 21212446688
University of Nebraska LincolnUniversity of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers1313557799
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats 1779911111313
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats 2881010121244
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies4466881010

Conditions — 10/17/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1025.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.6 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From SSW (204°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1025.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Minnesota: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnesota by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Minnesota, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →