| School | Team | |
|---|---|---|
 |
Boston University | Terriers |
 |
Brown | Bears |
 |
Clemson | Tigers |
 |
Dartmouth | Big Green |
 |
Fordham | Rams |
 |
Hobart & William | Statesmen |
 |
Kings Point | Mariners |
 |
MIT | Engineers |
 |
Mass Maritime | Buccaneers |
 |
New Hampshire | Wildcats |
 |
Northeastern | Huskies |
 |
Northwestern | Wildcats |
 |
Rhode Island | Rams |
 |
Roger Williams | Hawks |
 |
Salve Regina | Seahawks |
 |
Tufts | Jumbos |
 |
Vermont | Catamounts |
| School | Win | Top 3 | Avg finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brown University | 41.1% | 79% | 2.4 |
| Dartmouth College | 25.6% | 69% | 3.0 |
| Tufts University | 8.8% | 37% | 4.8 |
| Massachusetts Institute of Technology | 6.9% | 31% | 5.2 |
| Roger Williams University | 5.1% | 22% | 6.1 |
| Northeastern University | 3.6% | 16% | 6.8 |
| University of Rhode Island | 2.9% | 14% | 7.0 |
| Fordham University | 2.7% | 13% | 7.3 |
| Hobart and William Smith Colleges | 2.1% | 11% | 7.5 |
| Northwestern University | 0.5% | 3% | 10.3 |
| Clemson University | 0.3% | 2% | 10.9 |
| Salve Regina University | 0.2% | 1% | 11.9 |
| Boston University | 0.1% | 1% | 11.6 |
| University of New Hampshire | 0.1% | 0% | 13.5 |
| Massachusetts Maritime Academy | 0.0% | 0% | 13.3 |
| University of Vermont | 0.0% | 0% | 14.2 |
Forecast from 5,000 simulated regattas. Strengths come from each school's predicted line-up and its sailors' ratings. The forecast is not official and changes as entries and line-ups are published.
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University (Terriers) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Brown (Bears) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Clemson (Tigers) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Dartmouth (Big Green) | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Fordham (Rams) | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen) | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Kings Point (Mariners) | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 |
| MIT (Engineers) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| Mass Maritime (Buccaneers) | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| New Hampshire (Wildcats) | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Northeastern (Huskies) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Northwestern (Wildcats) | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| Rhode Island (Rams) | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Roger Williams (Hawks) | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Salve Regina (Seahawks) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| Tufts (Jumbos) | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| Vermont (Catamounts) | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University (Terriers) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Brown (Bears) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Clemson (Tigers) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Dartmouth (Big Green) | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Fordham (Rams) | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen) | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Kings Point (Mariners) | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 |
| MIT (Engineers) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| Mass Maritime (Buccaneers) | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| New Hampshire (Wildcats) | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Northeastern (Huskies) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Northwestern (Wildcats) | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| Rhode Island (Rams) | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Roger Williams (Hawks) | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Salve Regina (Seahawks) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| Tufts (Jumbos) | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| Vermont (Catamounts) | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston University (Terriers) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Brown (Bears) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Clemson (Tigers) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Dartmouth (Big Green) | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Fordham (Rams) | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen) | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Kings Point (Mariners) | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 |
| MIT (Engineers) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| Mass Maritime (Buccaneers) | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| New Hampshire (Wildcats) | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Northeastern (Huskies) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Northwestern (Wildcats) | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| Rhode Island (Rams) | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Roger Williams (Hawks) | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Salve Regina (Seahawks) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| Tufts (Jumbos) | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| Vermont (Catamounts) | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.
