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Rebecca Blank Memorial Regatta

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 40 26 66
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 46 31 77
3 Washington University Washington University Bears 38 42 80
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 44 41 85
5 Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 38 48 86
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 47 47 94
7 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 77 30 107
8 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 37 76 113
9 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 56 69 125
10 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 84 98 182
11 Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 104 84 188
12 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 87 108 195
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 6 2 2 1 2 1 7 7 9 37 Max Naseef '28 [1-6]
Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [7-9]
Amber Thorland '29 [1-6]
Teddy Golden '30 [7-9]
Washington University Washington University Bears 1 7 1 6 7 3 5 6 2 38 Flinn Opel '29
Johnny Li '30
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 4 3 4 4 4 5 1 2 11 38 Andrew Liu '27
Sarah Godfrey '27
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 8 1 3 5 1 4 2 OCS 3 40 Payden Pittman '28
Sara Corbett '29
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 3 10 5 3 5 6 3 5 4 44 Emi Rodes '28 [1-6]
Grace Bray '27 [7-9]
Stephen Spoerri '28 [1-6]
Charlie Meyers '29 [7-9]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 7 6 7 9 3 2 BKD 3 5 46 Emma Hershey '27
Kayla Decker '27
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 5 4 6 2 10 7 4 1 8 47 Hayden Johansen '27
Kyeongeon Kim '30
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 2 5 9 10 9 10 6 4 1 56 Jamie Milward '30 [1-6]
Molly Connelly '30 [7-9]
Bennett Star '30 [1-2]
Pablo Zeitune '30 [3-6]
Caterina Speziali '30 [7-8]
Emma Kacher '30 [9]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 10 9 8 7 8 11 9 9 6 77 Astrid Myhre '28 [1-9]
Anna Proulx '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Charles Regan '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 9 8 10 8 OCS 8 10 8 10 84 Sydney Huynh '29 [1-6]
Marguerite Eno '27 [7-9]
Carys Kong '30 [1-2]
Amylia Hong '30 [3-6]
Angela Crowe '30 [7-8]
Chiara Martin '30 [9]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 12 12 12 11 6 9 8 10 7 87 Bennett Jensen '30
Brandon Chen '30
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 11 11 11 12 OCS 12 11 11 12 104 Victoria Kutkovska '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Noelle Erslovas '28 [5-6, 9]
Noelle Erslovas '28 [1-2]
Brenda Sendze '30 [3-4]
Victoria Kutkovska '27 [5-6, 9]
Natalia Garcia San Miguel '29 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 2 5 2 4 6 1 1 1 26 Alyssa Neumann '30
Hannah Harrington '30
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 1 3 2 4 8 2 5 3 2 30 Gavin Parsons '28 [1-9]
Kaylie Simpson '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Emilio Portillo '29 [3-4, 7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 1 1 1 3 8 8 4 3 31 Charlie Hewitt '30
Emma Leidheiser '27
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 BKD 4 6 3 7 3 3 2 8 41 Romanos Ioannis Chiliarchopoulos '28 [1-8]
Audrey Cullinane '29 [9]
Alfonso Arnal '30 [1-6]
Shane Churilla '29 [7-8]
Claire Chen '29 [9]
Washington University Washington University Bears 3 7 3 7 1 5 4 5 7 42 Amelia Pare '28
Ingrid Schmitz '28
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 6 6 4 5 6 1 7 7 5 47 Joshua Van Norman '29
Sheroz Ganiev '28
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans 5 8 7 8 2 4 2 8 4 48 Arahant Veerareddy '30 [1-9]
Jordi Malaret '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Alexandra Wiker '27 [5-6, 9]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 7 5 8 9 5 7 9 10 9 69 Gabe Torres '29 [1-6]
Oscar Jorgenson '30 [7-9]
William Sacerdote '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Bennett Star '30 [3-4]
Allie Faber '30 [7-8]
Joshua Schnurman '30 [9]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 8 OCS 9 6 9 9 10 6 6 76 Aaron Mortara '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Dunham '30 [3-4, 7-9]
Christopher L’Helias '30 [1-6]
Iris Badezet Delory '27 [7-9]
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 9 9 10 10 10 10 6 9 11 84 Alex Berrie '29 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Amelia Long '30 [3-4, 7-8]
Amelia Long '30 [1-2]
Natalia Garcia San Miguel '29 [3-4]
Brenda Sendze '30 [5-9]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 10 10 11 12 12 11 11 11 10 98 Sahand Khavari '29 [1-9]
Lyndia Zheng '30 [1-6]
Leo Roth '30 [7-8]
Isabella Bermudez '30 [9]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers DNF OCS 12 11 11 12 12 12 12 108 Logan Berck '30
Carl Bravata '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans11331111131315
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons15151717113311
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters2210101212141416
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One3311111313151517
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers1616181822101012
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 1101012121414161618
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 211111313151517171
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 312121414161618182
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish17171133111113
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes131315151717113
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers1414161618182210
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears1818221010121214

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Case Western Reserve UniversityCase Western Reserve University CWRU Spartans2210101212141416
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1616181822101012
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters3311111313151517
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One101012121414161618
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers17171133111113
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 111111313151517171
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 212121414161618182
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 3131315151717113
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish1818221010121214
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes1414161618182210
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers15151717113311
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears11331111131315
School / Team SkipperCrew
Case Western Reserve University Case Western Reserve University Andrew Liu '27 Sarah Godfrey '27
CWRU Spartans Arahant Veerareddy '30 [1-9] Jordi Malaret '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Alexandra Wiker '27 [5-6, 9]
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Victoria Kutkovska '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Noelle Erslovas '28 [5-6, 9]		 Noelle Erslovas '28 [1-2]
Brenda Sendze '30 [3-4]
Victoria Kutkovska '27 [5-6, 9]
Natalia Garcia San Miguel '29 [7-8]
Foresters Alex Berrie '29 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Amelia Long '30 [3-4, 7-8]		 Amelia Long '30 [1-2]
Natalia Garcia San Miguel '29 [3-4]
Brenda Sendze '30 [5-9]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Astrid Myhre '28 [1-9] Anna Proulx '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Charles Regan '28 [3-4, 7-8]
MTU Husky One Gavin Parsons '28 [1-9] Kaylie Simpson '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Emilio Portillo '29 [3-4, 7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Emi Rodes '28 [1-6]
Grace Bray '27 [7-9]		 Stephen Spoerri '28 [1-6]
Charlie Meyers '29 [7-9]
Wildcats 1 Romanos Ioannis Chiliarchopoulos '28 [1-8]
Audrey Cullinane '29 [9]		 Alfonso Arnal '30 [1-6]
Shane Churilla '29 [7-8]
Claire Chen '29 [9]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jamie Milward '30 [1-6]
Molly Connelly '30 [7-9]		 Bennett Star '30 [1-2]
Pablo Zeitune '30 [3-6]
Caterina Speziali '30 [7-8]
Emma Kacher '30 [9]
Wildcats 2 Gabe Torres '29 [1-6]
Oscar Jorgenson '30 [7-9]		 William Sacerdote '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Bennett Star '30 [3-4]
Allie Faber '30 [7-8]
Joshua Schnurman '30 [9]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Sydney Huynh '29 [1-6]
Marguerite Eno '27 [7-9]		 Carys Kong '30 [1-2]
Amylia Hong '30 [3-6]
Angela Crowe '30 [7-8]
Chiara Martin '30 [9]
Wildcats 3 Sahand Khavari '29 [1-9] Lyndia Zheng '30 [1-6]
Leo Roth '30 [7-8]
Isabella Bermudez '30 [9]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Emma Hershey '27 Kayla Decker '27
Buckeyes Charlie Hewitt '30 Emma Leidheiser '27
Purdue University Purdue University Bennett Jensen '30 Brandon Chen '30
Boilermakers Logan Berck '30 Carl Bravata '28
University of Chicago University of Chicago Max Naseef '28 [1-6]
Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [7-9]		 Amber Thorland '29 [1-6]
Teddy Golden '30 [7-9]
Maroons Aaron Mortara '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Dunham '30 [3-4, 7-9]		 Christopher L’Helias '30 [1-6]
Iris Badezet Delory '27 [7-9]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Hayden Johansen '27 Kyeongeon Kim '30
Gophers Joshua Van Norman '29 Sheroz Ganiev '28
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Payden Pittman '28 Sara Corbett '29
Fighting Irish Alyssa Neumann '30 Hannah Harrington '30
Washington University Washington University Flinn Opel '29 Johnny Li '30
Bears Amelia Pare '28 Ingrid Schmitz '28

Conditions — 10/24/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1028.8 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From SE (132°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover46% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1028.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →