Freshman Icebreaker

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Marquette University Marquette University Marquette 28 41 69
2 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 25 46 71
3 Miami University Miami University Miami University 29 46 75
4 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 51 35 86
5 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 51 41 92
6 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 69 44 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 2 1 1 1 1 4 1 2 2 4 3 3 25 Emily Golden '13
Tony Michuda '13
Marquette University Marquette University Marquette 1 2 4 4 2 2 2 4 3 2 1 1 28 Patrick Farrell '13
Peter Mcnulty '13
Miami University Miami University Miami University 4 3 2 2 3 1 4 1 4 1 2 2 29 William Andreae '13 [1-12]
Connor Doyle '13 [1-2, 5-12]
Ahmed Koraym '13 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 3 5 6 6 5 3 5 5 1 3 5 4 51 Eliott Sikkenga '13
Anna-Marie Davidson '13
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 5 4 3 3 4 5 3 3 5 5 6 5 51 Matthew Stephens '13 [1-12]
Jacqueline Dai '13 [1-8, 11-12]
Kael Anderson '?? [9-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 DNS 6 6 4 6 69 Elizabeth Grobbel '13
Jordan Kristopik '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 2 1 1 4 2 3 5 2 6 2 5 2 35 Jeb Kenney '18 [1-12]
Aras Karaitis '12 [1-2]
Matthew Remington '05 [3-12]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 1 4 3 5 5 2 3 6 1 5 1 5 41 Kevin Condit '13 [1-12]
Ingrid Woelfel '?? [1-10]
Kael Anderson '?? [11-12]
Marquette University Marquette University Marquette 4 2 4 3 4 5 1 5 4 1 4 4 41 Cameron Elko '13
Andrea Kiela '13
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 3 2 1 6 4 6 1 3 3 6 6 44 Joseph Beck '13
Michael Sahara '13
Miami University Miami University Miami University 5 DNF 6 2 3 6 2 3 5 4 2 1 46 Chris Hillman '12
David Peyer '13
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 6 5 5 6 1 1 4 4 2 6 3 3 46 Anne Murphy '13 [1, 4, 8, 10-12]
Deirdre Bartlett '13 [2-3, 5-7, 9]
Deirdre Bartlett '13 [1, 4, 8, 10-12]
Anne Murphy '13 [2-3, 5-7, 9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Marquette114466114466
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University225577225577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines446611446611
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1557722557722
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2661144661144
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan772255772255

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Marquette225577225577
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University446611446611
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines557722557722
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1661144661144
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2772255772255
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan114466114466
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Patrick Farrell '13 Peter Mcnulty '13
Marquette Cameron Elko '13 Andrea Kiela '13
Miami University Miami University William Andreae '13 [1-12] Connor Doyle '13 [1-2, 5-12]
Ahmed Koraym '13 [3-4]
Miami University Chris Hillman '12 David Peyer '13
University of Michigan University of Michigan Elizabeth Grobbel '13 Jordan Kristopik '12
Wolverines Joseph Beck '13 Michael Sahara '13
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Matthew Stephens '13 [1-12] Jacqueline Dai '13 [1-8, 11-12]
Kael Anderson '?? [9-10]
Fighting Irish 1 Kevin Condit '13 [1-12] Ingrid Woelfel '?? [1-10]
Kael Anderson '?? [11-12]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Emily Golden '13 Tony Michuda '13
Fighting Irish 2 Anne Murphy '13 [1, 4, 8, 10-12]
Deirdre Bartlett '13 [2-3, 5-7, 9]
Deirdre Bartlett '13 [1, 4, 8, 10-12]
Anne Murphy '13 [2-3, 5-7, 9]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Eliott Sikkenga '13 Anna-Marie Davidson '13
Western Michigan Jeb Kenney '18 [1-12] Aras Karaitis '12 [1-2]
Matthew Remington '05 [3-12]

Conditions — 03/27/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1019.6 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From SE (129°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1019.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · NE 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Notre Dame: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.27 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.34
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Notre Dame by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Notre Dame, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →