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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 7 18
2 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 15 5 20
3 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 13 17 30
4 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 12 23 35
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 20 15 35
6 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 14 22 36
7 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 25 19 44
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 33 32 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 3 5 2 11 Ben Spector '13
Alexis Scott '13
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 5 1 2 4 12 John Mellnik '12
Craig Mitchell '10
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 BKD 7 1 13 Douglas Toney '11 [1-4]
Christine Hurst '13 [1-2]
Paul Scruggs '12 [3-4]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 4 6 1 3 14 Brandon Johnson '10
Tamara Greak '13
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 3 2 3 7 15 Andrew King '11
Katie Marren '13
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 6 4 4 6 20 Clinton Hodges '10
Christine Walker '12
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers RAF 5 6 5 25 Austin Nettles '11
Caleb Scott '11
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 7 DNF DNS 8 33 Davis Dulin '12
Richard Beddingfield '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 1 2 1 1 5 Becca Denny '10
Salem Vanderstel '11
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 2 2 7 Brooks Clark '13
Sarah Scudder '13
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech 3 3 6 3 15 Andrew Battigaglia '12
Madeline Rose '12
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 5 4 4 4 17 Brian Smith '10
Alexandra Gent '11
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 5 BKD BKD 19 Austin Clary '11
Mary Collins '11
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 7 7 3 5 22 Oliver Evans '12
Andrew Wittman '12
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 6 6 5 6 23 Isabelle Hale '13
Dana Kamilar '11
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 8 8 8 8 32 No Show
Christopher Thunes '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.270+0.27
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1133
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2244
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech3355
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina4466
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State5577
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers6688
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington7711
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt8822

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2244
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3355
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Georgia Tech4466
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina5577
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State6688
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers7711
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington8822
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt1133

Conditions — 03/20/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From SW (226°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →