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Nwicsa Coed Quals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 21 17 38
2 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 29 29 58
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 43 33 76
4 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 50 50 100
5 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 47 64 111
6 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 62 59 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 21 Ezra Boyer '18 [1-6, 11-12]
Hannah Darrin '11 [7-10]
Katie Schmidt '11 [1-6, 11-12]
Athina Ebert '17 [7-10]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 3 3 2 2 1 3 3 1 1 2 5 29 Craig Emmes '10
Sophie Thomas '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 4 4 4 5 2 6 5 3 4 4 43 Bryan Rust '11 [1-6, 11-12]
Katherine Stephens '10 [7-10]
Mallory Abston '10 [1-6, 11-12]
Calla Ward '10 [7-10]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 2 4 2 6 3 4 4 4 6 4 5 3 47 Colin Thompson '12
Annin Ramsing '13
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 6 5 5 5 6 3 6 2 2 5 3 2 50 Lisa Hodges '11
Melissa Rathbun '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 4 6 6 3 5 6 5 5 4 6 6 6 62 Taylor Miron '16 [1-12]
Kristine Dewilde '11 [1-10]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [11-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 17 Glen Stellmacher '11
Haley Lane '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 6 2 1 3 3 4 2 1 1 3 2 1 29 Philip Gordon '12
Hannah Darrow '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 2 2 2 2 4 5 3 2 3 3 33 Andrew Nelson '10
Meghan Mcdonald '12
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 3 5 5 4 5 3 3 4 4 4 6 4 50 Evan Carmean '11
Sophie Harris '10
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 5 6 4 5 4 6 5 3 6 6 4 5 59 Leila Whitney '13 [1-12]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [1-6]
John Dictson '12 [7-12]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 4 4 6 6 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 64 David Eva '12
Laura Yonamine '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers112233445566
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks223344556611
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings334455661122
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound445566112233
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies556611223344
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings661122334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers778899101011111212
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks889910101111121277
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings991010111112127788
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound101011111212778899
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies111112127788991010
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings121277889910101111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Lisa Hodges '11 Melissa Rathbun '13
Pioneers Evan Carmean '11 Sophie Harris '10
Portland State University Portland State University Taylor Miron '16 [1-12] Kristine Dewilde '11 [1-10]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [11-12]
Vikings Leila Whitney '13 [1-12] Aldyn Brudie '13 [1-6]
John Dictson '12 [7-12]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Craig Emmes '10 Sophie Thomas '10
Ducks Philip Gordon '12 Hannah Darrow '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Colin Thompson '12 Annin Ramsing '13
Puget Sound David Eva '12 Laura Yonamine '13
University of Washington University of Washington Ezra Boyer '18 [1-6, 11-12]
Hannah Darrin '11 [7-10]		 Katie Schmidt '11 [1-6, 11-12]
Athina Ebert '17 [7-10]
Huskies Glen Stellmacher '11 Haley Lane '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Bryan Rust '11 [1-6, 11-12]
Katherine Stephens '10 [7-10]		 Mallory Abston '10 [1-6, 11-12]
Calla Ward '10 [7-10]
Vikings Andrew Nelson '10 Meghan Mcdonald '12

Conditions — 04/10/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From WNW (287°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1026.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · W 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →