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Rainier Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 33 49 82
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 76 47 123
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 32 91 123
4 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 75 64 139
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 90 81 171
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 87 85 172
7 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 101 71 172
8 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 82 99 181
9 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 91 111 202
10 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 138 120 258
11 Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 128 132 260
12 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 138 136 274
13 Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 108 177 285
14 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 142 144 286
15 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 158 MRP 137 MRP 295 MRP
16 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 183 166 349
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 12 1 1 1 1 6 3 2 2 1 1 1 32 Hannah Darrin '11
Katrina Flora '10
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 3 8 2 2 4 1 1 1 5 2 3 33 Felipe Lopez '10
Katie Schmidt '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 13 8 3 OCS 4 1 10 4 6 4 3 2 75 Craig Emmes '10
Sophie Thomas '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 6 10 8 3 9 6 3 4 3 10 8 76 Bryan Rust '11
Mallory Abston '10
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 7 11 7 5 7 3 13 8 8 2 6 5 82 Mickail Murawski '10 [1-6, 9-12]
Andrew Cowley '12 [7-8]
Jean Rutledge '13 [1-6, 9-12]
Mike Mccarthy '14 [7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 4 7 4 3 8 12 9 11 7 7 8 7 87 Katherine Stephens '10
Kirsten Campbell '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 9 7 12 5 8 5 5 8 DSQ 10 90 Logan Swartz '11
Kimberly Tilton '11
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 3 4 2 4 6 2 16 16 9 10 5 14 91 Carmen Bozina '11
Carly Olenick '13
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 11 13 6 6 5 8 2 6 14 6 13 11 101 Andrew Wien '10
Max Clemons '12
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 9 5 12 9 10 15 14 7 3 9 9 6 108 Aike Burger '16 [1-12]
Erin Morrison '15 [1-8]
Jessica Kraemer '10 [9-12]
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 5 12 5 DSQ 9 14 4 13 15 14 11 9 128 Elizabeth Nihill '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Aaron Krugman '10 [5-8, 11-12]
Lauren Mcnally '12 [1-4, 9-10]
Taylor Forster '13 [5-8, 11-12]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 8 14 11 11 14 13 12 10 10 11 12 12 138 Leila Whitney '13
Aldyn Brudie '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 10 OCS 15 13 11 10 5 12 13 12 7 13 138 Taylor Miron '16
John Dictson '12
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 15 9 14 10 15 7 7 9 12 15 14 15 142 Lisa Hodges '11
Melissa Rathbun '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 16 10 13 14 13 11 15 14 11 13 4 4 158 MRP Mike Knape '12
Kyle Kubler '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 14 15 16 12 16 16 11 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS 183 Martin Van Den Berghe '10 [1-2, 9-12]
Robert Sarkissian '10 [3-8]
Robert Sarkissian '10 [1-2, 9-12]
Martin Van Den Berghe '10 [3-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 4 2 4 3 6 9 4 1 3 3 2 47 Andrew Nelson '10 [1-12]
Angela Gossom '13 [1-6]
Meghan Mcdonald '12 [7-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 1 1 1 9 14 1 1 OCS 1 1 1 49 Glen Stellmacher '11
Haley Lane '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 5 3 2 11 9 5 2 4 2 2 DNF 64 Philip Gordon '12
Hannah Darrow '13
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 8 6 7 1 11 3 3 5 9 5 6 71 Joseph Teno '10
Steve Blackman '11
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 14 5 12 6 7 8 5 2 4 4 4 81 Shea Artis '10
Krystal Treiberg '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 9 7 10 11 4 12 6 8 3 6 6 3 85 Erika Vranizan '12
Megan Link '10
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 6 11 9 10 3 2 6 OCS 5 10 9 91 Alyce Flanagan '13
Kathryn Smith '10
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 5 13 7 13 5 13 11 7 6 7 7 5 99 Connor Bescos '11
Amr Amr '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles 15 16 13 3 2 1 7 13 10 11 9 11 111 Eric Du '18
Martha Thompson '10
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 11 9 4 6 12 8 13 10 DNF 12 11 7 120 Julia Purcell '10
Kristine Dewilde '11
Chapman University Chapman University Panthers 4 2 15 14 14 2 12 14 8 DNF 13 DNF 132 Alyssa Aoki '12 [1-10]
Elizabeth Nihill '11 [11-12]
Alexa Pukall '11 [1-6]
Lexi Korneitchouk '12 [7-10]
Lauren Mcnally '12 [11-12]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 16 12 9 5 16 16 10 11 9 10 12 10 136 Sky Cunningham '10
John Hart '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 14 10 14 10 15 10 4 9 7 8 8 8 137 MRP John Elam '11
Jen Vroomen '11
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 8 3 12 8 7 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 144 Sophie Harris '10
Hannah Mader '12
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 12 15 8 16 8 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 166 Meigan Blunt '10
Sarah Loeppky '14
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 13 11 16 15 13 15 14 12 DNF DNS DNS DNS 177 Jeffrey Hickman '13 [1-12]
Kyle Hartig '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Erin Morrison '15 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers7373777779798282878711
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers727275757878818184848888
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1127273434737377777979
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks3331317272757578788181
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State7575787881818484888833
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 17777797982828787112727
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 27878818184848888333131
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound7979828287871127273434
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles272734347373777779798282
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos313172727575787881818484
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz343473737777797982828787
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder8484888833313172727575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18282878711272734347373
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 28181848488883331317272
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 18888333131727275757878
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 28787112727343473737777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Chapman UniversityChapman University Panthers7575787881818484888833
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers7373777779798282878711
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats3331317272757578788181
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks272734347373777779798282
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State7777797982828787112727
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 17878818184848888333131
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 27979828287871127273434
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound8181848488883331317272
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles UC Los Angeles313172727575787881818484
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos343473737777797982828787
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz727275757878818184848888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder8787112727343473737777
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18484888833313172727575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 28282878711272734347373
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 11127273434737377777979
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 28888333131727275757878
School / Team SkipperCrew
Chapman University Chapman University Elizabeth Nihill '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Aaron Krugman '10 [5-8, 11-12]		 Lauren Mcnally '12 [1-4, 9-10]
Taylor Forster '13 [5-8, 11-12]
Panthers Alyssa Aoki '12 [1-10]
Elizabeth Nihill '11 [11-12]		 Alexa Pukall '11 [1-6]
Lexi Korneitchouk '12 [7-10]
Lauren Mcnally '12 [11-12]
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Lisa Hodges '11 Melissa Rathbun '13
Pioneers Sophie Harris '10 Hannah Mader '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Andrew Wien '10 Max Clemons '12
Wildcats Joseph Teno '10 Steve Blackman '11
Oregon State University Oregon State University Aike Burger '16 [1-12] Erin Morrison '15 [1-8]
Jessica Kraemer '10 [9-12]
Oregon State Jeffrey Hickman '13 [1-12] Kyle Hartig '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Erin Morrison '15 [7-8]
Portland State University Portland State University Taylor Miron '16 John Dictson '12
Vikings 1 Sky Cunningham '10 John Hart '11
Portland State University Portland State University Leila Whitney '13 Aldyn Brudie '13
Vikings 2 Julia Purcell '10 Kristine Dewilde '11
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Carmen Bozina '11 Carly Olenick '13
UC Los Angeles Eric Du '18 Martha Thompson '10
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Logan Swartz '11 Kimberly Tilton '11
Gauchos Shea Artis '10 Krystal Treiberg '12
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Mickail Murawski '10 [1-6, 9-12]
Andrew Cowley '12 [7-8]		 Jean Rutledge '13 [1-6, 9-12]
Mike Mccarthy '14 [7-8]
UC Santa Cruz Connor Bescos '11 Amr Amr '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Craig Emmes '10 Sophie Thomas '10
Ducks Philip Gordon '12 Hannah Darrow '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Mike Knape '12 Kyle Kubler '13
Puget Sound John Elam '11 Jen Vroomen '11
University of Victoria University of Victoria Martin Van Den Berghe '10 [1-2, 9-12]
Robert Sarkissian '10 [3-8]		 Robert Sarkissian '10 [1-2, 9-12]
Martin Van Den Berghe '10 [3-8]
Thunder Meigan Blunt '10 Sarah Loeppky '14
University of Washington University of Washington Hannah Darrin '11 Katrina Flora '10
Huskies 1 Alyce Flanagan '13 Kathryn Smith '10
University of Washington University of Washington Felipe Lopez '10 Katie Schmidt '11
Huskies 2 Glen Stellmacher '11 Haley Lane '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Katherine Stephens '10 Kirsten Campbell '13
Vikings 1 Erika Vranizan '12 Megan Link '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Bryan Rust '11 Mallory Abston '10
Vikings 2 Andrew Nelson '10 [1-12] Angela Gossom '13 [1-6]
Meghan Mcdonald '12 [7-12]

Conditions — 04/17/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From WSW (244°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 14 kn · NW 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oregon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.22)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.22 means a rating gap counts about 19% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Oregon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →