SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 25 13 38
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 34 22 56
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 43 57
4 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 36 23 59
5 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 36 36 72
6 Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 27 52 79
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 52 42 94
8 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 64 57 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 14 Emilie Mademann '12
Millicent Gerlak '12
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 25 David Harrison '13
Casey Bowles-Jenner '13
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 2 4 1 1 6 5 4 4 27 Matthew Bradley '11 [1-4]
Alexander Stewart '13 [5-8]
Alexander Stewart '13 [1-4]
Matthew Bradley '11 [5-8]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 7 6 6 2 2 5 5 34 Nicole Popp '12 [1-4]
Ben Jassin '13 [5-8]
Nikki Bruno '12 [1-4]
Josh Fu '?? [5-6]
Andrew Amato '13 [7-8]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 3 1 5 4 5 4 7 7 36 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 6 6 4 5 4 6 2 3 36 Tristan Jackson '11
Chad Murray '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 7 5 7 7 7 7 6 6 52 Michael Todd '11
Lily Everson '12
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 64 Ryan Silva '13
Sarah Heckler '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 13 Bryan White '13
Lauren Munim '13
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 2 1 1 7 4 3 3 22 Amy Gaylord '12 [1-4]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [5-8]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [1-4]
Clarissa Carlucci '12 [5-6]
Colby Meyers '12 [7-8]
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 2 4 5 3 1 2 2 4 23 Jonathon Norcross '11
Jordan Anduaga-Todd '14
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 6 3 7 5 3 5 5 2 36 Zach Kowalski '12
Philip Gwinnell '12
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 4 5 4 6 6 8 4 5 42 Joseph Collura '11 [1-5]
Kristoffer Bostic '11 [6-8]
Nicholas Bostic '12 [1-5]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 8 6 6 4 4 3 6 6 43 Duncan Macleod '13
Emily Mitchell '13
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 7 7 3 8 5 6 8 8 52 Lianne Laubscher '11 [1-4]
Sam Abbott '13 [5-8]
Sam Abbott '13 [1-4]
Lianne Laubscher '11 [5-8]
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 5 8 8 7 8 7 7 7 57 Jared Horvitz '13
Casey Andersen '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11335577
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic22446688
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles33557711
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech44668822
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville55771133
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes88224466
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins66882244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls77113355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22446688
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic33557711
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles44668822
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech55771133
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville66882244
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes11335577
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins77113355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88224466
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Emilie Mademann '12 Millicent Gerlak '12
Tritons Duncan Macleod '13 Emily Mitchell '13
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Matthew Bradley '11 [1-4]
Alexander Stewart '13 [5-8]
Alexander Stewart '13 [1-4]
Matthew Bradley '11 [5-8]
Florida Atlantic Lianne Laubscher '11 [1-4]
Sam Abbott '13 [5-8]
Sam Abbott '13 [1-4]
Lianne Laubscher '11 [5-8]
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Ryan Silva '13 Sarah Heckler '11
Eagles Jared Horvitz '13 Casey Andersen '13
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Adam Harris '12 Chloe Mallet '12
Florida Tech Zach Kowalski '12 Philip Gwinnell '12
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Michael Todd '11 Lily Everson '12
Jacksonville Joseph Collura '11 [1-5]
Kristoffer Bostic '11 [6-8]
Nicholas Bostic '12 [1-5]
Rollins College Rollins College Tristan Jackson '11 Chad Murray '15
Rollins Jonathon Norcross '11 Jordan Anduaga-Todd '14
University of Miami University of Miami Nicole Popp '12 [1-4]
Ben Jassin '13 [5-8]
Nikki Bruno '12 [1-4]
Josh Fu '?? [5-6]
Andrew Amato '13 [7-8]
Hurricanes Amy Gaylord '12 [1-4]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [5-8]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [1-4]
Clarissa Carlucci '12 [5-6]
Colby Meyers '12 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida David Harrison '13 Casey Bowles-Jenner '13
Bulls Bryan White '13 Lauren Munim '13

Conditions — 03/27/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From ENE (59°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1016.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →