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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 26 26 52
2 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 42 19 61
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 46 22 68
4 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 29 51 80
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 22 71 93
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 67 52 119
7 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 81 39 120
8 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 61 60 121
9 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 63 68 131
10 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 84 77 161
11 Grinnell College Grinnell College Pioneers 83 89 172
12 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 63 129 192
13 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 106 89 195
14 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 111 85 196
15 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 114 111 225
16 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illinois 106 120 226
17 Carleton College Carleton College Knights 119 123 242
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 3 3 2 2 4 2 3 3 22 Tod Reynolds '11
Katherine Nickele '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 1 2 1 1 1 10 9 1 26 Andrew Wien '10
Noah Aldonas '13
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 4 1 4 13 3 1 1 2 29 Andrew Fox '13
Adelaide Davis '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 2 4 6 6 9 4 5 6 42 Matthew Thompson '11
Tom Cramer '07
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 5 5 3 9 5 7 4 8 46 Brendan Boylan '13
Kristina Schaldach '11
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 15 12 13 5 2 8 2 4 61 John O'Brien '18 [1-8]
Anne Murphy '13 [1-4]
Ali Donahue '11 [5-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 8 8 11 7 8 3 7 11 63 Nathaniel Walden '12
Natalie Fang '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 10 9 5 3 7 5 6 OCS 63 Nicholas Campbell '12
Lauren Radomski '10
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 6 6 8 8 12 9 11 7 67 Allison Prange '11
Tom Cramer '07
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines BYE 10 14 11 11 12 8 5 81 Alex Bogatko '10
Cameron Bates '10
Grinnell College Grinnell College Pioneers 7 11 9 14 6 6 12 OCS 83 Jonah Ellman '12
Rose Conry '13
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 9 13 7 15 10 11 10 9 84 Luke Hiller '10 [1-2]
Anna Scott '11 [3-8]
Anna Scott '11 [1-2]
Michael Kang '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Nicholas Lewis '12 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 11 BYE 12 10 15 15 16 14 106 Greg Adams '12
Mike Karrels '12
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illinois 13 7 10 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS 106 Matt Kopecki '12
Shannon Kartheiser '11
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 12 14 15 16 14 14 13 13 111 Timothy Mcelreath '13
Jason Brown '13
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 14 15 16 17 13 13 14 12 114 Caleb Kiser '12
Nelson Oelker '12
Carleton College Carleton College Knights 16 17 17 12 16 16 15 10 119 Nathan Kohlenberg '11
Shane Auerbach '10
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1 3 2 1 4 1 3 2 3 19 Braden Solum '12
Eric Tobias '13
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 5 2 4 2 3 4 22 Jeremy Mcmahon '11
Jacklyn Brown '10
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 3 6 7 2 1 3 4 1 2 26 Alex Lubben '13 [1-2]
Michael Cornew '13 [3-8]
Hannah Schriesheim '11 [1-2]
Maija Mikkila '10 [3-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 5 3 3 2 9 8 5 39 Rachel Barch '13
Britt Wedenoja '11
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 6 4 12 10 5 6 6 51 Phillip Morley '13
Kelly Kramer '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 2 5 3 6 5 7 11 4 11 52 Natalie Sinn '12 [1-8]
Kirstin Wilson '12 [1-2]
Katie Berning '12 [3-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 7 9 7 11 8 1 9 8 60 Elizabeth Werley '12
Jessica Hedrich '11
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 8 4 9 13 13 15 5 1 68 John Bere '10
Danielle Baurer '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 11 8 8 7 5 7 7 OCS 71 Sarah Hughes '11
Carolyn Fallert '12
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 10 10 11 10 6 6 14 10 77 Paul Kaplan '13
Alexandra Weill '11
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 13 13 13 8 9 12 10 7 85 Jake Mohan '11 [1-2]
Jenny Robinson '12 [3-8]
Jenny Robinson '12 [1-2]
Eric Pomber '12 [3-8]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee 9 DNF 12 6 11 10 11 12 89 Lauren Galante '13
Brittany Mcgrath '11
Grinnell College Grinnell College Pioneers 12 12 10 9 12 8 13 13 89 Kyle Walters '12
Ben Brewer '11
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats OCS 11 16 16 15 14 12 9 111 Andrew Becker '12 [1-8]
Hannah Kratz '12 [1-4]
Douglas Adamski '15 [5-8]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illinois 14 14 14 15 17 17 15 14 120 Haley Johnson '14
Leah Holtzman '13
Carleton College Carleton College Knights DNF DNS 15 14 14 13 16 15 123 Chelsea Modlin '12
Travis Nordgaard '13
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 15 15 17 17 16 16 17 16 129 Kevin Condit '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Stephens '13 [3-4, 7-8]
Jacqueline Dai '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Carleton CollegeCarleton College Knights11335577
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons22446688
Grinnell CollegeGrinnell College Pioneers33557799
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illinois7272224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines5577991111
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One4466881010
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 1212172722244
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 22222113355
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats668810101212
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 1779911111414
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 288101012121515
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 399111114142121
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 11010121215152222
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 21111141421217272
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee12121515222211
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 114142121727222
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2151522221133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Carleton CollegeCarleton College Knights22446688
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons33557799
Grinnell CollegeGrinnell College Pioneers4466881010
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illinois11335577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines668810101212
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One5577991111
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 12222113355
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women 27272224466
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats779911111414
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 188101012121515
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 299111114142121
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 31010121215152222
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 11111141421217272
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 212121515222211
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee UW Milwaukee14142121727222
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1151522221133
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2212172722244
School / Team SkipperCrew
Carleton College Carleton College Nathan Kohlenberg '11 Shane Auerbach '10
Knights Chelsea Modlin '12 Travis Nordgaard '13
Grinnell College Grinnell College Jonah Ellman '12 Rose Conry '13
Pioneers Kyle Walters '12 Ben Brewer '11
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Timothy Mcelreath '13 Jason Brown '13
Husky One Jake Mohan '11 [1-2]
Jenny Robinson '12 [3-8]		 Jenny Robinson '12 [1-2]
Eric Pomber '12 [3-8]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Caleb Kiser '12 Nelson Oelker '12
Wildcats Andrew Becker '12 [1-8] Hannah Kratz '12 [1-4]
Douglas Adamski '15 [5-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Nicholas Campbell '12 Lauren Radomski '10
Wildcats 1 John Bere '10 Danielle Baurer '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Tod Reynolds '11 Katherine Nickele '12
Wildcats 2 Sarah Hughes '11 Carolyn Fallert '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Andrew Wien '10 Noah Aldonas '13
Wildcats 3 Alex Lubben '13 [1-2]
Michael Cornew '13 [3-8]		 Hannah Schriesheim '11 [1-2]
Maija Mikkila '10 [3-8]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Luke Hiller '10 [1-2]
Anna Scott '11 [3-8]		 Anna Scott '11 [1-2]
Michael Kang '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Nicholas Lewis '12 [5-6]
Maroons Paul Kaplan '13 Alexandra Weill '11
University of Illinois University of Illinois Matt Kopecki '12 Shannon Kartheiser '11
Illinois Haley Johnson '14 Leah Holtzman '13
University of Michigan University of Michigan Alex Bogatko '10 Cameron Bates '10
Wolverines Rachel Barch '13 Britt Wedenoja '11
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Matthew Thompson '11 Tom Cramer '07
Minnesota Women 1 Braden Solum '12 Eric Tobias '13
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Allison Prange '11 Tom Cramer '07
Minnesota Women 2 Natalie Sinn '12 [1-8] Kirstin Wilson '12 [1-2]
Katie Berning '12 [3-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame John O'Brien '18 [1-8] Anne Murphy '13 [1-4]
Ali Donahue '11 [5-8]
Fighting Irish 1 Elizabeth Werley '12 Jessica Hedrich '11
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Nathaniel Walden '12 Natalie Fang '12
Fighting Irish 2 Kevin Condit '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Stephens '13 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jacqueline Dai '13 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Brendan Boylan '13 Kristina Schaldach '11
Badgers 1 Jeremy Mcmahon '11 Jacklyn Brown '10
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Andrew Fox '13 Adelaide Davis '13
Badgers 2 Phillip Morley '13 Kelly Kramer '13
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Greg Adams '12 Mike Karrels '12
UW Milwaukee Lauren Galante '13 Brittany Mcgrath '11

Conditions — 04/10/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1019.8 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.8 kn
avg  ·  max 14.1 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1019.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 16 kn · NE 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.24 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →