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SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 17 12 29
2 Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 15 15 30
3 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 1 17 18 35
4 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 2 12 42 54
5 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 29 26 55
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 42 19 61
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 2 4 2 1 1 2 2 12 John Mellnik '12
Sarah Heine '12
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 1 1 3 2 4 4 15 Samuel Hodges '13
Anna Sprague '14
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 1 2 5 4 4 1 1 17
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 3 3 2 3 3 3 17 Ervin Grove '11
Lucas Kindervater '13
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 5 4 5 5 5 5 29 Edward Miller '13
Salem Vanderstel '11
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 42 Andrew Battigaglia '12
Elizabeth Rahn '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 4 2 2 2 1 1 12 Paul Scruggs '12
Becca Hofmeister '14
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 1 3 3 1 4 3 15 Wesley Wallace '14
Thomas Andrews '13
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 1 3 4 4 3 2 2 18 Isabelle Hale '13
Tom Nolan '14
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 1 1 5 5 5 19 Andrew Battigaglia '12
Elizabeth Rahn '15
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 5 5 5 4 3 4 26 Katie Marren '13
Charles Curry '11
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 2 DSQ DSQ DNS DNS DSQ DSQ 42 John Mellnik '12
Sarah Heine '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.270+0.27
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn112233
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets223344
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina 1334466
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina 2777777
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers446611
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt661122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn112233
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets223344
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina 1664466
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina 2777777
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers446611
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt331122

Conditions — 03/26/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine1.6 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1011.9 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn · N 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.83 ± 0.56)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →