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SEISA Dinghy Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 20 28 48
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 28 32 60
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 25 36 61
4 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 66 24 90
5 University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 62 96 158
6 Baylor University Baylor University Bears 63 96 159
7 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State 96 96 192
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 3 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 20 Schuyler Hemmerdinger '12 [1-12]
Mary Duncan '11 [1-10]
Lauren Cargo '14 [11-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 2 4 3 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 25 Colin Feik '13
Jennifer Bender '13
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 28 Scott Proctor '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Caitlynn Taylor '11 [7-8]
Ellen Hayes '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Kornel Tetera '11 [7-8]
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 5 5 3 6 5 4 5 4 4 5 DNS DNS 62 Shelby Aughtry '12
Benjamin Riggs '12
Baylor University Baylor University Bears 6 6 6 5 4 5 6 6 5 4 5 5 63 Patrick Campbell '12 [1-12]
Branltey Welborn '14 [1-10]
Ariel Stevenson '12 [11-12]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 4 4 5 4 DSQ DSQ 4 5 DSQ DSQ 4 4 66 Benjamin Haller '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Michael Reams '13 [5-8, 11-12]
Emily Sayrs '13 [1-2, 11-12]
John Hunter '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Chris Farmelo '14 [5-6, 9-10]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 96 Zackery Breeland '12
Emily Seiler '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 2 1 1 2 2 2 4 3 4 1 1 1 24 Christian Caldwell '13
Maxwell Greene '14
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 3 1 1 4 1 1 3 4 4 3 28 Mackenzie Milne '13 [1-12]
Lee Evans '13 [1-4, 9-12]
Lauren Cargo '14 [5-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 4 3 4 4 4 1 2 2 1 3 2 2 32 Hazel Mahony '11 [1-2]
Caleb Cunningham '12 [3-12]
Erica Lassen '14 [1-2]
William Cragin '15 [3-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 2 2 3 4 36 Robert Long '12
Travis James '13
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DNS DNS DNS DNS 96 Allison Moorhead '13
Kyle Defreitas '12
Baylor University Baylor University Bears DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DNS DNS DNS DNS 96 Anthony Tran '11 [1-12]
Ariel Stevenson '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Travis Rice '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 96 Preston Bezant '11
Connor Murphy '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears445566778899
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes88991010445566
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooners99101044556677
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Oklahoma State55667788991010
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns10104455667788
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies66778899101044
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave77889910104455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears111112121313141415151616
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes151516161717111112121313
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooners161617171111121213131414
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Oklahoma State121213131414151516161717
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns171711111212131314141515
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies131314141515161617171111
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave141415151616171711111212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Baylor University Baylor University Patrick Campbell '12 [1-12] Branltey Welborn '14 [1-10]
Ariel Stevenson '12 [11-12]
Bears Anthony Tran '11 [1-12] Ariel Stevenson '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Travis Rice '12 [3-4, 7-8]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Zackery Breeland '12 Emily Seiler '22
Oklahoma State Preston Bezant '11 Connor Murphy '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Colin Feik '13 Jennifer Bender '13
Aggies Robert Long '12 Travis James '13
Tulane University Tulane University Schuyler Hemmerdinger '12 [1-12] Mary Duncan '11 [1-10]
Lauren Cargo '14 [11-12]
Green Wave Mackenzie Milne '13 [1-12] Lee Evans '13 [1-4, 9-12]
Lauren Cargo '14 [5-8]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Benjamin Haller '11 [1-4, 9-10]
Michael Reams '13 [5-8, 11-12]		 Emily Sayrs '13 [1-2, 11-12]
John Hunter '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Chris Farmelo '14 [5-6, 9-10]
Buffaloes Christian Caldwell '13 Maxwell Greene '14
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Shelby Aughtry '12 Benjamin Riggs '12
Sooners Allison Moorhead '13 Kyle Defreitas '12
University of Texas University of Texas Scott Proctor '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Caitlynn Taylor '11 [7-8]		 Ellen Hayes '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Kornel Tetera '11 [7-8]
Longhorns Hazel Mahony '11 [1-2]
Caleb Cunningham '12 [3-12]		 Erica Lassen '14 [1-2]
William Cragin '15 [3-12]

Conditions — 04/09/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 91°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.1 kn
avg  ·  max 15.6 kn
Gusts to 32.3 kn
From S (169°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn · S 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.45 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →