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Hawkeye Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 19 7 26
2 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 6 21 27
3 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 18 25 43
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 36 20 56
5 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 27 31 58
6 Robert Morris University Illinois Robert Morris University Illinois Eagles 31 35 66
7 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 31 39 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Dustin Domer '13
Sarah Gross '15
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 2 3 2 3 BKD 5 18 Philip Niles '12
Kathleen Schneider '14
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 4 2 5 2 3 3 19 Timothy Mcelreath '13
Amy Saelen '12
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 5 5 6 5 2 4 27 Nicole Hakim '15
Sisi He '19
Robert Morris University Illinois Robert Morris University Illinois Eagles 3 4 3 DNF 7 6 31 Marvin Gomez '12 [1-4]
Danny Trejo '13 [5-6]
Patrick Mcclendon '14 [1-4]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes DNF 6 7 4 4 2 31 Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [1, 3, 5]
Paul Vatterott '12 [2, 4, 6]
Bianca Palumbo '16 [1, 3, 5]
Meg Zmolek '16 [2, 4, 6]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 6 7 4 6 6 7 36 Davis Dolson '14
Will Fenton '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 1 1 1 1 1 7 Brendan Wolohan '12
Amelia Seelman '12
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 5 4 3 3 2 3 20 Courtney Kronschnabel '15
William Lane '15
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 3 5 4 4 3 2 21 Matthieu Caffrey '11
Anthony Perez '13
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 4 3 2 2 6 RAF 25 Michael Bermeo '13
Casey Munger '14
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 1 2 DNF DNF 4 RAF 31 Haley Johnson '14
Glen Ko '15
Robert Morris University Illinois Robert Morris University Illinois Eagles 6 6 6 6 7 4 35 Raymie Henderson '12
R. Gomez '13
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes DNF DNF 5 5 5 RAF 39 Emily Fohn '15 [1, 3, 5]
Dillan Newbold '14 [2, 4, 6]
Joseph Knight '16 [1, 3, 5]
Peter Hasakis '13 [2, 4, 6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini558844
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames11117799
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes779922
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 188441111
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 2992255
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One44111177
Robert Morris University IllinoisRobert Morris University Illinois Eagles225588

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini779922
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames558844
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes88441111
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 1992255
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 244111177
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One225588
Robert Morris University IllinoisRobert Morris University Illinois Eagles11117799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Philip Niles '12 Kathleen Schneider '14
Golden Eagles 1 Michael Bermeo '13 Casey Munger '14
Marquette University Marquette University Davis Dolson '14 Will Fenton '11
Golden Eagles 2 Courtney Kronschnabel '15 William Lane '15
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Timothy Mcelreath '13 Amy Saelen '12
Husky One Brendan Wolohan '12 Amelia Seelman '12
Robert Morris University Illinois Robert Morris University Illinois Marvin Gomez '12 [1-4]
Danny Trejo '13 [5-6]		 Patrick Mcclendon '14 [1-4]
Eagles Raymie Henderson '12 R. Gomez '13
University of Illinois University of Illinois Nicole Hakim '15 Sisi He '19
Illini Haley Johnson '14 Glen Ko '15
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Dustin Domer '13 Sarah Gross '15
Flames Matthieu Caffrey '11 Anthony Perez '13
University of Iowa University of Iowa Magdalena Franze-Soeln '16 [1, 3, 5]
Paul Vatterott '12 [2, 4, 6]		 Bianca Palumbo '16 [1, 3, 5]
Meg Zmolek '16 [2, 4, 6]
Hawkeyes Emily Fohn '15 [1, 3, 5]
Dillan Newbold '14 [2, 4, 6]		 Joseph Knight '16 [1, 3, 5]
Peter Hasakis '13 [2, 4, 6]

Conditions — 04/07/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From SSW (194°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1021.8 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn · W 12 kn* · NW 15 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Iowa: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.38 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Iowa by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Iowa, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →