SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 8 19
2 Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 18 36 54
3 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 27 27 54
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 27 28 55
5 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 34 25 59
6 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 38 36 74
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 41 35 76
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 46 46 92
9 Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 48 MRP 50 MRP 98 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 3 1 4 1 1 11 Ivã¡N Aponte Taboas '15
Connor Murphy '16
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 3 6 2 2 2 3 18 Wesley Wallace '14
Henry Risberg '16
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 6 4 3 1 7 6 27 Mark Buchanan '13
Bryson Scruggs '15
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 7 4 3 3 2 27 Aroldo De Rienzo '13
Jeffrey Fuller '12
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 5 5 5 6 6 7 34 Ben Brightwell '13
Andrew Munnerlyn '13
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 8 8 5 4 9 38 William Duncan '14
Paige Gainey '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 7 2 7 8 9 8 41 Dustin Simons '14
Evan Connell '13
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 9 9 6 9 8 5 46 Matthew Weber '15 [1-4]
Lauren Mclean '13 [5-6]
Haley Zugel '15 [1-4]
Benjamin Hicks '14 [5-6]
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 2 1 9 7 5 4 48 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 1 1 2 1 8 Amy Kubie '14
Mary Massalon '14
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 6 3 7 3 4 2 25 Donald Parker '15
Lucas Crawford '13
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 8 8 2 5 1 3 27 Ervin Grove '11 [1-6]
Shivana Tate '15 [1-2]
Carson Reddick '15 [3-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 7 3 7 3 6 28 Elliot Newnham '13
Abhay Baliga '14
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 3 6 6 6 7 7 35 Brion Capo '12
David Rogers '15
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 5 4 9 8 6 4 36 Robert Dye '11
Rachael Payton '15
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 7 5 4 DSQ 5 5 36 Sean Osler '16
James Lemmon '14
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 9 9 8 4 8 8 46 Caroline Cave '12 [1-6]
Pierre Noebes '14 [1-4]
Benjamin Burghaus '14 [5-6]
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 4 1 5 2 9 9 50 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn113355
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars446688
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel224466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers335577
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia557799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets668811
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State779922
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers992244
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks881133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn224466
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars557799
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel335577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers446688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia668811
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets779922
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State881133
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers113355
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks992244

Conditions — 03/03/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1007.0 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 30.9 kn
From W (271°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1007.0 hPa Rain0.27 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 4 kn · W 15 kn* · NW 13 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →