Rainier JV

HostCollege Sailing
Date04/14/2012
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
BoatFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Western Washington University	Vikings 2	15	12	27
2	Western Washington University	Vikings 1	15	15	30
3	Western Washington University	Vikings 3	34	35	69
4	Portland State University	Vikings	35	51	86
5	Huskies	Huskies	47 MRP	47 MRP	94 MRP
6	Western Washington University	Vikings 4	51	47	98
7	Ducks	Ducks	69 MRP	79 MRP	148 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Western Washington University	Vikings 2	1	4	2	2	3	1	1	1	15	Peter Mcgrath '13 Jessica Bennett '12
Western Washington University	Vikings 1	2	2	1	1	1	2	4	2	15	Patrick Taylor '12 Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University	Vikings 3	4	3	4	3	4	5	5	6	34	Andrew Colebrook '16 Amanda Martelli '13
Portland State University	Vikings	5	5	6	4	2	3	6	4	35	Johan Jorna '14 Michael Calhoun '13
Huskies	Huskies	3	1	3	6	5	4	2	3	47 MRP
Western Washington University	Vikings 4	7	6	7	7	DNF	DNF	3	5	51	Greyson Spencer '13 Evan Derickson '13
Ducks	Ducks	6	7	5	5	6	6	7	7	69 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Western Washington University	Vikings 2	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	2	12	Alex Waldron '13 Rachael Mccrady '14
Western Washington University	Vikings 1	1	1	3	2	2	2	3	1	15	Paul Foley '15 Emma Huey '12
Western Washington University	Vikings 3	5	4	4	DNF	4	4	2	4	35	Jake Fetterman '15 Jackson Dean '12
Western Washington University	Vikings 4	3	2	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	5	5	47	Margaret Okrasinski '15 Sara Welsh '12
Huskies	Huskies	4	5	2	3	3	3	4	3	47 MRP
Portland State University	Vikings	6	6	DNF	DNF	5	5	6	7	51	Breton Zyirek '14 Gary Cozad '13
Ducks	Ducks	7	7	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	7	6	79 MRP

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
	Portland State University Vikings	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78
	Huskies Huskies	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
	Portland State University Vikings	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78
	Huskies Huskies	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Portland State University	Johan Jorna '14	Michael Calhoun '13
Vikings	Breton Zyirek '14	Gary Cozad '13
Western Washington University	Patrick Taylor '12	Meghan Mcdonald '12
Vikings 1	Paul Foley '15	Emma Huey '12
Western Washington University	Peter Mcgrath '13	Jessica Bennett '12
Vikings 2	Alex Waldron '13	Rachael Mccrady '14
Western Washington University	Andrew Colebrook '16	Amanda Martelli '13
Vikings 3	Jake Fetterman '15	Jackson Dean '12
Western Washington University	Greyson Spencer '13	Evan Derickson '13
Vikings 4	Margaret Okrasinski '15	Sara Welsh '12

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Rainier JV

Division A

Division B

From the notes