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SEISA Qualifier 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 18 14 32
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 25 21 46
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 25 37 62
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 25 38 63
5 University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 32 32 64
6 Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City 48 39 87
7 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State 56 34 90
8 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 41 61 102
9 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 58 56 114
10 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 72 69 141
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 1 3 2 3 1 1 3 18 Mackenzie Milne '13
Jacob Shulist '13
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 8 2 1 2 4 4 2 25 Caleb Cunningham '12 [1-8]
Marissa Morrison '15 [1-4, 7-8]
William Cragin '15 [5-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 4 4 5 1 2 BYE BYE 25 Conner Fullerton '12 [1-2, 5-8]
Travis Conger '14 [3-4]
Rachel Childress '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Travis James '13 [3-4]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 7 2 1 3 BYE BYE 5 1 25 Trey Hartman '15
Leslie Holt '12
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 1 3 BYE BYE 5 6 2 7 32 Shelby Aughtry '12
Kyle Defreitas '12
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 6 7 5 4 4 5 6 4 41 Charles Shafer '14
Tyler Boerner '14
Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City 5 DSQ 6 8 8 3 3 5 48 Peter Harlin '12
Patrick Warrington '15
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State 9 5 7 6 6 7 8 8 56 Sam Webb '14
David Stewart '13
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 8 6 8 7 7 9 7 6 58 Harrison Wicks '12
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack BYE BYE 9 DSQ 9 8 9 9 72 Mitchell Selby '15
James Van Camp '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 1 2 1 3 2 BYE BYE 14 Philip Krause '13
Lauren Cargo '14
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 3 1 6 1 1 BKD 3 21 Masie Comen '15
Matt Lenz '13
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooners 8 5 4 2 6 5 1 1 32
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State 4 4 3 4 7 7 3 2 34 Mohamed Alhanaei '13
Connor Murphy '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 2 7 8 2 4 6 6 37 Robert Long '12 [1-2]
Muhammad Hisham Uddin '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Chelsea Bethancourt '12 [5-6]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephanie Mcbride '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 7 7 5 5 4 3 2 5 38 Jessica Malone '12
Rachel Mcmahon '15
Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City BYE BYE 6 3 5 6 5 4 39 Jason Blakeburn '12
Heidi Ventresca '15
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 5 6 BYE BYE 9 9 4 9 56
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 6 8 DNF 7 BYE BYE 7 7 61 Sarah Summers '13
Anne Powell '13
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 9 9 DSQ 9 8 8 8 8 69 Oliver Marston '15 [1-4]
Thomas Eisenhood '15 [5, 7-8]
Jennifer Keller '12 [6]
Jennifer Keller '12 [1-5, 7-8]
Thomas Eisenhood '15 [6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma55779911
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack1010224466
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas77991133
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooners8810102244
Oklahoma City UniversityOklahoma City University Oklahoma City99113355
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Oklahoma State22446688
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns11335577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies4466881010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies6688101022
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave33557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma6688101022
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack11335577
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas8810102244
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooners99113355
Oklahoma City UniversityOklahoma City University Oklahoma City1010224466
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Oklahoma State33557799
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns22446688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies55779911
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies77991133
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave4466881010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Mitchell Selby '15 James Van Camp '15
Wolfpack Oliver Marston '15 [1-4]
Thomas Eisenhood '15 [5, 7-8]
Jennifer Keller '12 [6]		 Jennifer Keller '12 [1-5, 7-8]
Thomas Eisenhood '15 [6]
Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Peter Harlin '12 Patrick Warrington '15
Oklahoma City Jason Blakeburn '12 Heidi Ventresca '15
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Sam Webb '14 David Stewart '13
Oklahoma State Mohamed Alhanaei '13 Connor Murphy '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Conner Fullerton '12 [1-2, 5-8]
Travis Conger '14 [3-4]		 Rachel Childress '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Travis James '13 [3-4]
Aggies Robert Long '12 [1-2]
Muhammad Hisham Uddin '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Chelsea Bethancourt '12 [5-6]		 Lauren Ostrowski '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephanie Mcbride '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Trey Hartman '15 Leslie Holt '12
Aggies Jessica Malone '12 Rachel Mcmahon '15
Tulane University Tulane University Mackenzie Milne '13 Jacob Shulist '13
Green Wave Philip Krause '13 Lauren Cargo '14
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Charles Shafer '14 Tyler Boerner '14
Central Oklahoma Sarah Summers '13 Anne Powell '13
University of North Texas University of North Texas Harrison Wicks '12
North Texas
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Shelby Aughtry '12 Kyle Defreitas '12
Sooners
University of Texas University of Texas Caleb Cunningham '12 [1-8] Marissa Morrison '15 [1-4, 7-8]
William Cragin '15 [5-6]
Longhorns Masie Comen '15 Matt Lenz '13

Conditions — 01/28/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1029.4 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From NNE (21°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1029.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →