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SAISA South Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 18 27 45
2 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 28 26 54
3 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 39 17 56
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 26 43 69
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 46 26 72
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 69 55 124
7 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 67 58 125
8 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 61 69 130
9 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 64 70 134
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 2 1 4 2 1 2 1 1 3 18 Ben Jassin '13
Bryce Scarfone '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 3 2 1 5 3 1 2 BYE BYE 26 Erik Brydges '14
Cat Pappas '15
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 1 4 2 1 5 5 5 2 1 28 Ian Nora '14
Caroline Leed '14
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 4 4 3 5 4 2 4 3 5 5 39 Allison Gray '13 [1-10]
Michelle Thomas '13 [1-2]
Thomas Monson '14 [3-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls BYE BYE 6 3 3 4 6 4 3 7 46 Daniel Hager '12
Morgan Barrios '13
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 5 7 BYE BYE 8 7 8 6 6 2 61 Elliot Evins '13
Maria Phillips '13
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 8 8 7 7 6 6 3 7 8 4 64 Jacqueline Taylor '15
Aaron Hull '15
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 6 6 5 6 7 8 BYE BYE 7 8 67 Jared Horvitz '13
Ryan Silva '13
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 7 5 8 DNS BYE BYE 7 8 4 6 69 David Horton '12
Ellery Carlson '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 1 2 1 BYE BYE BYE 1 3 2 17 Michelle Thomas '13
Natalie Viera '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 2 3 2 3 1 1 3 BYE BYE 26 Eric Amos '15
Casey Mcgauran '12
Rollins College Rollins College Tars BYE BYE 1 3 2 3 6 2 2 1 26 Jason Limbach '12
Emily Nys '13
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 3 BYE BYE 1 2 3 4 1 4 27 Jackson Cranfield '12
Nicholas Voss '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 6 5 3 43 Evann Martin '15
Ana Cunningham '14
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 5 5 5 8 8 2 7 6 7 55 Lily Everson '12
Jenna Spangler '14
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 7 7 6 6 6 4 5 8 4 5 58 Talis Mcmullen '14
Mary Braddock '14
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 8 6 7 8 5 6 8 5 8 8 69 Richard Zay '14
David Bacsik '14
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 6 8 8 7 7 7 BYE BYE 7 6 70 Branden Nathe '14
Travis Reid '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1133557799
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles2244668811
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4466881133
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles3355779922
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins5577992244
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes6688113355
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College7799224466
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars8811335577
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls9922446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons2244668811
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles3355779922
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators5577992244
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles4466881133
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins6688113355
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes7799224466
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College8811335577
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars9922446688
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1133557799

Conditions — 03/05/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 36%  ·  Pressure 1027.0 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NW (306°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity36% Pressure1027.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn · E 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →