Barnyard Bizarre

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 10 19 29
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 16 25 41
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 28 16 44
4 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 37 12 49
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 24 28 52
6 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 37 18 55
7 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 30 28 58
8 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 34 34 68
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 10 Colin Feik '13
Megan English '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 3 2 1 3 4 16 Michael Sager '15
Jacob Hafemeister '16
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 6 2 5 7 1 3 24 Travis Conger '14
Christina Thompson '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 4 4 4 4 4 8 28 Margot Provensal '13
Kayla Sonnier '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 5 5 7 3 5 5 30 Travis James '13
Ataly Asher '15
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 8 8 5 6 6 34 Masie Comen '15
Brinley Kranz '16
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 7 6 3 6 8 7 37 Tyler Boerner '14
Darby Gilmore '14
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 8 7 6 8 7 1 37 Ian Jones '15
Zachariah Duck '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 6 1 2 2 1 12 Connor Murphy '14
Forrest Ferguson '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 6 1 1 7 16 Paige Meineke '14
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 2 4 3 3 6 18 Derek Taylor '13 [1-5]
Danielle Karim '14 [1-2, 5]
Anne Powell '13 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 5 2 4 6 2 19 Victoria Garibay '15
Michael Koletsos '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 5 6 8 3 25 Jason Way '16
Ryan Murphy '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 4 7 5 4 8 28 Katherine Biancardi '15
Hannah Upton '13
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 8 3 8 5 4 28 Michael Hearn '13
Sydney Balusek '16
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 7 8 7 7 5 34 Dana Dinsmore '14
Marissa Morrison '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma771133
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys668822
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns113355
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1882244
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2224466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 3335577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2557711

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma88224
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys77113
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns22446
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 111335
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 233557
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 344668
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 155771
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 266882

Conditions — 03/23/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1006.4 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From NNE (17°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine2.3 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1006.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Texas A&M, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →