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CNU Women's

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Big Red Big Red Big Red 30 33 63
2 Captains Blue Captains Blue Captains Blue 45 31 76
3 Captains Captains Captains 44 38 82
4 Colonials Colonials Colonials 43 68 111
5 Lions Lions Lions 51 83 134
6 Tribe Tribe Tribe 82 60 142
7 Griffin Griffin Griffin 97 79 176
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT
Big Red Big Red Big Red 4 5 3 2 1 5 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 30
Colonials Colonials Colonials 3 3 6 5 4 2 3 2 2 1 3 5 2 2 43
Captains Captains Captains 1 1 4 4 2 1 4 5 6 3 5 1 3 4 44
Captains Blue Captains Blue Captains Blue 5 2 2 1 3 4 5 3 4 4 2 3 4 3 45
Lions Lions Lions 2 4 1 3 5 3 2 4 3 5 4 4 5 6 51
Tribe Tribe Tribe 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 82
Griffin Griffin Griffin 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 97
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT
Captains Blue Captains Blue Captains Blue 4 2 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 1 1 31
Big Red Big Red Big Red 1 3 1 1 7 3 1 2 3 2 1 4 2 2 33
Captains Captains Captains 2 1 6 5 3 4 3 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 38
Tribe Tribe Tribe 3 6 7 3 4 1 5 5 6 4 5 1 5 5 60
Colonials Colonials Colonials 6 5 5 4 2 5 4 4 4 6 4 6 7 6 68
Griffin Griffin Griffin 5 7 2 6 6 6 7 6 5 7 7 5 6 4 79
Lions Lions Lions 7 4 4 7 5 7 6 7 7 5 6 7 4 7 83
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
CaptainsCaptains Captains111111113131313131313
Captains BlueCaptains Blue Captains Blue666666611111111111111
LionsLions Lions333333315151515151515
Big RedBig Red Big Red444444416161616161616
ColonialsColonials Colonials555555517171717171717
GriffinGriffin Griffin777777712121212121212
TribeTribe Tribe222222214141414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
CaptainsCaptains Captains111111111111113333333
Captains BlueCaptains Blue Captains Blue161616161616161111111
LionsLions Lions131313131313135555555
Big RedBig Red Big Red141414141414146666666
ColonialsColonials Colonials151515151515157777777
GriffinGriffin Griffin171717171717172222222
TribeTribe Tribe121212121212124444444

Conditions — 03/16/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1007.2 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From SW (221°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1007.2 hPa Rain0.03 in

What this breeze does at Christopher Newport — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Christopher Newport in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled fleet-race days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →