Garner Tullis

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 12 11 23
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 10 14 24
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 20 21 41
4 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 26 36 62
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 34 31 65
6 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 40 25 65
7 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 34 39 73
8 Baylor University Baylor University Bears 40 39 79
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 2 4 1 1 1 10 Jacob Hafemeister '16
Ryan Murphy '15
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 1 2 2 2 3 12 Alexandra Payne '15
Susan Herndon '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 4 4 1 3 4 4 20 Trey Hartman '15
Kayla Sjoberg '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 5 5 5 4 5 2 26 Travis Conger '14
Sarah Turner '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 7 6 6 6 6 34 Walter Pospick '17
No Show
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 6 3 3 7 7 8 34 Mitchell Selby '15
Stuart Cranner '14
Baylor University Baylor University Bears 7 6 7 5 8 7 40 Brian Jones '12 [1-6]
Ariel Stevenson '12 [1-4]
Dani Bomar '13 [5-6]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 8 8 8 8 3 5 40 Adam El-Khazindar '13
William Albev '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 1 3 3 1 11 Michael Swanson '16
Addison Adams '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 3 1 3 2 2 3 14 Emery Hiebert '17
Rachel Mcmahon '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 2 3 4 5 5 2 21 Dylan Kaminski-Ditzel '15
Brittney Crawford '15
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 6 8 5 1 1 4 25 Madeline Ougga '15
Oliver Marston '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 8 6 2 6 4 5 31 Virginia Vance '16
Caitlyn Locklar '16
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 4 7 7 4 7 7 36 Morgan Frakes '17
Stephanie Meals '15
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 5 4 8 8 6 8 39 James Van Camp '15
Samantha Murray '16
Baylor University Baylor University Bears 7 5 6 7 8 6 39 David Byrd '15 [1-4]
Jackie Oliver '11 [5-6]
Kevin Wilson '11 [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears993355
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1114466
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2335577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1446688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2557799
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1668811
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2779933
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave881144

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears114466
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1335577
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2446688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1557799
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2668811
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1779933
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2881144
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave993355

Conditions — 04/05/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NE (46°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1016.8 hPa Rain0.20 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn · SE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →