Breeze: W about 15 kn
(weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Michigan in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.
Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0):
positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about
8% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is
no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star.
How this is estimated · compare venues.
Orderliness beyond the fleet at Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface;
dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Michigan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).
