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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 6 15
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 8 18
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 15 17 32
4 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 13 23 36
5 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 20 22 42
6 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 24 19 43
7 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 25 24 49
8 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 35 26 61
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 29 35 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 3 2 3 9 Edwin Strong '15
Carter Smith '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 1 4 1 10 Ian Dilling '17
Cassidy Shevitz '14
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 3 2 6 2 13 Robert Marshall '15
Hammond Edwards '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 4 5 4 15 David Rogers '15
Paulina Spencer '16
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 6 8 1 5 20 Becca Hofmeister '14
Mark Schneider '16
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 5 5 8 6 24 Shane Selig '15
Andrew Martin '14
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 6 3 7 25 James Elder '15
Yash Gore '16
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 7 7 8 29 Sullivan Madewell '14
Rachael Payton '15
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 8 9 9 9 35 Matthew Carnell '16
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 1 1 3 6 Meredith Rutledge '16
Hunter Davis '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 2 1 8 Irene Abascal '17
Ellinor Walters '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 5 4 6 17 Dustin Simons '14
Kristin Neill '16
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 5 7 5 2 19 Adam Kaplon '15
William Reynolds '15
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 7 4 6 5 22 Matthew White '14
Brandon Sander '14
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 8 8 3 4 23 Scott Adams '17
William Montgomery '14
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 3 9 8 24 Matthew Salley '14
Scott Claudon '16
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 6 6 7 7 26 Benjamin Murphy '15
Clancy Oliver '15
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 9 8 9 35 Jonathan Ashworth '17
Samantha Vaughn '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1122
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3344
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel6677
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2233
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4455
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5566
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 17788
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 28899
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt9911

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1122
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3344
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel6677
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2233
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4455
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5566
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 17788
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 28899
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt9911

Conditions — 03/08/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From SW (231°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1018.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →