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SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 19 24
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 19 9 28
3 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 23 11 34
4 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 20 16 36
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 29 20 49
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck 32 38 70
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 37 36 73
8 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 27 47 74
9 Auburn University Auburn University War Eagle 34 42 76
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 49 37 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 1 1 1 1 5 John Reddaway '15
Andrew Branch '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 2 7 6 2 19 David Rogers '15
Paulina Spencer '16
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 5 3 6 3 3 20 Christopher Moe '17 [1-4]
Robert Marshall '15 [5]
Austin Winkler '16 [1-4]
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 3 7 3 2 8 23 Lillian Brown '17
Stephen Petty Valenzuela '17
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 4 5 4 8 6 27 Brent Deangelis '16
Rachael Payton '15
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 6 6 9 4 4 29 Jeffrey Pyles '14
Ryan Polu '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck 7 4 2 9 10 32 Joshua Kim '17
Chris Walton '16
Auburn University Auburn University War Eagle 9 8 5 7 5 34 Sullivan Madewell '14 [1-5]
John Williams '17 [1-2]
Edward Martin '16 [3-4]
Dowtin Mcknight '14 [5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 8 9 8 5 7 37 Nichole Palen '14
Annalisa Kristoffersen '15
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 10 10 10 9 49 Henry Taylor '17 [1-5]
Kaylee Lane '15 [1-2]
Erica Trotter '17 [3-4]
Andrew Roberts '16 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 1 2 2 1 9 Benton Morton '14
Jillian Tucker '15
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 1 2 3 1 4 11 Adam Kaplon '15
Shane Selig '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 5 4 1 3 3 16 Jared Chrysostom '15
Scott Adams '17
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 3 4 5 5 19 Matthew Salley '14
Yash Gore '16
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 5 5 4 2 20 Kailey Savacool '16
Cameron Paul '16
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 8 6 7 6 9 36 Marc Celestini '16
Daniel Hemstreet '15
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 8 9 8 6 37 Michael Stolorena '15 [1-5]
Emily Olive '17 [1-2]
Andrew Roberts '16 [3-4]
Erica Trotter '17 [5]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck 7 9 8 7 7 38 Gins Holde '15
Alex Richardson '15
Auburn University Auburn University War Eagle 9 7 6 10 10 42 Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-2]
Henry Risberg '16 [3-5]
Henry Risberg '16 [1-2]
Jonathan Ashworth '17 [3-5]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 10 10 9 8 47 Cailyn Gray '16 [1-2]
Shawn Majzlik '18 [3-5]
Samantha Vaughn '15 [1-2]
Taylor Lemaitre '17 [3-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11223
Auburn UniversityAuburn University War Eagle22334
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel889910
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs9910101
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck55667
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets44556
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror77889
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66778
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks33445
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt1010112

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers66778
Auburn UniversityAuburn University War Eagle77889
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel33445
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs44556
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck1010112
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets9910101
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror22334
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack11223
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks889910
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt55667

Conditions — 03/15/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From WSW (252°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1019.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →