2015 SailPack Oriental Intercollegiate

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 21 14 35
2 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 16 23 39
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red and White 13 29 42
4 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 21 24 45
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 39 33 72
6 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 30 48 78
7 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 47 44 91
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 51 47 98
9 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University UNC Charlotte 47 52 99
10 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 61 53 114
11 Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 53 62 115
12 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 70 58 128
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red and White 3 4 3 1 1 1 13 No Show
No Show
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 4 2 1 2 4 3 16 Curtis Woodworth '17 [1-6]
Beatriz Dunoyer De Segonzac '18 [1-2, 6]
Meghan Peltier '16 [3-5]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 3 2 3 6 6 21 Laura Smit '17 [1-6]
Emma Bush '17 [1-4]
Stephanie Brown '18 [5-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 2 1 4 6 3 5 21 Nicholas Pardini '16
Kelly Brust '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 7 7 8 4 2 2 30 Allyson Plessner '17 [1-6]
Emily Rieck '17 [1-3]
James Shannon '17 [4-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 5 6 5 7 10 39 Kara Wheeler '18
James Stonecypher '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University UNC Charlotte 8 6 11 10 8 4 47 No Show
No Show
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 10 10 5 8 5 9 47 Elliot Greenwald '16
Emily Trenton '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 11 8 7 9 9 7 51 Paulina Spencer '16
Kaitlin O'Connor '17
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 5 9 10 11 10 8 53 Rachel Weitman '16
Evan Deckers '16
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 9 11 9 7 12 DNS 61 Ryan Welch '16 [1-4]
Peter Baay '17 [5-6]
Peter Baay '17 [1-4]
Ryan Welch '16 [5-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 12 12 12 12 11 11 70 Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-6]
Samantha Taylor '16 [1-4]
Mary Lenoir '18 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 3 3 1 1 4 2 14 Leah Cody '25
Spencer Blum '17
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 1 2 5 5 2 8 23 Rafael Melendez '17 [1-6]
John Sutton '16 [1-2, 5]
Michelle Pine '17 [3-4, 6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 2 4 3 7 5 3 24 Kevin Mccandless '15
Brian Perilla '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red and White OCS 7 4 3 1 1 29 No Show
No Show
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 6 11 4 3 4 33 April Lamb '17
Mckenna Marquart '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 8 5 7 6 DNF 5 44 Alberto Rivera '16
Frank Pingatore '16
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 6 11 9 9 6 6 47 Zack Morey '17
Jack Cummings '18
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 DNF 1 6 2 DNF DNF 48 Matthew Scotti '18 [1-6]
Cassidy Shevitz '14 [1-4]
Courtney Salzman '18 [5-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University UNC Charlotte 7 10 10 8 8 9 52 No Show
No Show
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 4 8 2 DNF DNS DNS 53 Christopher Masone '17
Victor Sullivan '17
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 9 8 DNF 9 10 58 Kirsten Failing '17
Matthew Preisser '18
Salisbury University Salisbury University Seagulls 10 12 DNF DNF 7 7 62 Simon Timmerman '16
Molly Deckers '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers112233
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 122111212
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 2334455
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats443322
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State556677
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror778899
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red and White887766
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University UNC Charlotte9910101111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack665544
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls10109988
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 11111121211
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 2121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11131322
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 11313111818
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 222141433
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats1414221313
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State33151544
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror44161655
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red and White1616441515
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University UNC Charlotte55171766
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1515331414
Salisbury UniversitySalisbury University Seagulls1717551616
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 166181811
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 21818661717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-6] Samantha Taylor '16 [1-4]
Mary Lenoir '18 [5-6]
Tigers Kirsten Failing '17 Matthew Preisser '18
College of Charleston College of Charleston Allyson Plessner '17 [1-6] Emily Rieck '17 [1-3]
James Shannon '17 [4-6]
Cougars 1 Matthew Scotti '18 [1-6] Cassidy Shevitz '14 [1-4]
Courtney Salzman '18 [5-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Laura Smit '17 [1-6] Emma Bush '17 [1-4]
Stephanie Brown '18 [5-6]
Cougars 2 Leah Cody '25 Spencer Blum '17
Davidson College Davidson College Ryan Welch '16 [1-4]
Peter Baay '17 [5-6]
Peter Baay '17 [1-4]
Ryan Welch '16 [5-6]
Wildcats Christopher Masone '17 Victor Sullivan '17
Florida State University Florida State University Curtis Woodworth '17 [1-6] Beatriz Dunoyer De Segonzac '18 [1-2, 6]
Meghan Peltier '16 [3-5]
Florida State Rafael Melendez '17 [1-6] John Sutton '16 [1-2, 5]
Michelle Pine '17 [3-4, 6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Paulina Spencer '16 Kaitlin O'Connor '17
Red Terror Zack Morey '17 Jack Cummings '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University No Show No Show
Red and White No Show No Show
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University No Show No Show
UNC Charlotte No Show No Show
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Kara Wheeler '18 James Stonecypher '18
Wolfpack April Lamb '17 Mckenna Marquart '18
Salisbury University Salisbury University Rachel Weitman '16 Evan Deckers '16
Seagulls Simon Timmerman '16 Molly Deckers '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Nicholas Pardini '16 Kelly Brust '16
Orange 1 Kevin Mccandless '15 Brian Perilla '17
Syracuse University Syracuse University Elliot Greenwald '16 Emily Trenton '18
Orange 2 Alberto Rivera '16 Frank Pingatore '16

Conditions — 03/14/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 99%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 22.5 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity99% Pressure1016.8 hPa Rain0.20 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at North Carolina State: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.28
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North Carolina State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at North Carolina State).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →