Delaware Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 47 27 74
2 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 43 38 81
3 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 37 55 92
4 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 44 49 93
5 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 64 32 96
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 42 59 101
7 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 60 76 136
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 6 1 2 4 3 2 2 5 3 3 2 37 John Kirk '17
Angelina Graham '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 2 2 1 5 2 4 7 6 1 1 5 42 Evan Shone '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Sean Crandall '19 [9-10]
Morgan Dezendorf '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 1 3 3 2 1 7 6 4 5 5 1 43 Barrett Adams '17
Shane Oryniak '18
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 3 5 4 4 1 5 5 3 2 4 4 4 44 Samuel Haksteen '17 [1-12]
Ben Fosbaugh '17 [1-6]
Lars Sobieski '19 [7-12]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 4 6 5 3 4 1 1 1 7 7 7 47 Joseph Crouse '16 [1-8]
Andrew Bobbitt '18 [9-12]
Conor Waller '16 [1-8]
Jaimie Martin '18 [9-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 2 3 7 7 DNF 6 6 4 3 6 2 6 60 Edgard Sanchez '19 [1-12]
Cassidy Gonzalez '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Joshua Guix '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 7 7 5 6 6 7 3 5 7 2 6 3 64 Zachary Warner '19
Eric Merrell '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 4 6 2 3 27 Alexander Johnston '18 [1-12]
Jaimie Martin '18 [1-2]
Sean Malone '19 [3-4]
Matthew Nicholson '18 [5-8]
Rachel Finci '17 [9-12]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 6 3 2 4 6 1 3 3 1 1 1 1 32 Henry Sanders '18
Daniel Piccininni '17
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 2 4 2 2 2 2 5 2 4 3 5 38 No Show
John Ellis '19
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 3 4 5 5 5 6 5 2 3 2 5 4 49 Nathan Thompson '17
Tina Nassehi '17
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 6 3 3 1 4 4 7 6 7 6 6 55 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Megan Parker '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 5 7 7 4 5 7 6 5 3 4 2 59 Laila Van Cleve '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Ella Collins '19 [3-4]
Martha Diezemann '18 [7-10]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-2, 7-10]
Ryan Skinner '19 [3-4]
Mark Eggleston '18 [5-6]
Kyle Hinkle '18 [11-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 7 6 6 7 7 6 4 7 5 7 7 76 Treasa Casey '19 [1-12]
Corey Mounce '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Robert Jarrett '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens556677112233
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233445566
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps667711223344
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers771122334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings223344556677
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights334455667711
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange445566771122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens556677112233
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233445566
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps667711223344
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers771122334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings223344556677
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights334455667711
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange445566771122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Barrett Adams '17 Shane Oryniak '18
Dragons No Show John Ellis '19
Ocean County College Ocean County College John Kirk '17 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Nina Van De Vaarst '19 Megan Parker '19
Rutgers University Rutgers University Edgard Sanchez '19 [1-12] Cassidy Gonzalez '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Joshua Guix '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Scarlet Knights Treasa Casey '19 [1-12] Corey Mounce '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Robert Jarrett '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Zachary Warner '19 Eric Merrell '16
Orange Henry Sanders '18 Daniel Piccininni '17
University of Delaware University of Delaware Evan Shone '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Sean Crandall '19 [9-10]
Morgan Dezendorf '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Blue Hens Laila Van Cleve '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Ella Collins '19 [3-4]
Martha Diezemann '18 [7-10]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-2, 7-10]
Ryan Skinner '19 [3-4]
Mark Eggleston '18 [5-6]
Kyle Hinkle '18 [11-12]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Joseph Crouse '16 [1-8]
Andrew Bobbitt '18 [9-12]
Conor Waller '16 [1-8]
Jaimie Martin '18 [9-12]
Terps Alexander Johnston '18 [1-12] Jaimie Martin '18 [1-2]
Sean Malone '19 [3-4]
Matthew Nicholson '18 [5-8]
Rachel Finci '17 [9-12]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Samuel Haksteen '17 [1-12] Ben Fosbaugh '17 [1-6]
Lars Sobieski '19 [7-12]
Retrievers Nathan Thompson '17 Tina Nassehi '17

Conditions — 04/23/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1011.6 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From N (354°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1011.6 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · NW 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →