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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 34 MRP 32 MRP 66 MRP
2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 42 MRP 33 MRP 75 MRP
3 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 39 MRP 42 MRP 81 MRP
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 1 34 MRP 47 MRP 81 MRP
5 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 40 MRP 46 MRP 86 MRP
6 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 53 MRP 44 MRP 97 MRP
7 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 45 MRP 62 MRP 107 MRP
8 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 2 63 MRP 51 MRP 114 MRP
9 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 5 65 MRP 52 MRP 117 MRP
10 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 3 62 MRP 72 MRP 134 MRP
11 Loggers Loggers Loggers 76 MRP 72 MRP 148 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 1 3 1 4 4 2 34 MRP
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 4 2 1 6 1 34 MRP Theo Truax '18
Adele Horbulyk '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 2 4 2 7 4 39 MRP David Berry '16
Emma Dayton '16
Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 1 3 6 2 8 40 MRP
Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 5 6 5 3 3 42 MRP
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 6 9 3 1 6 45 MRP Oliver Cannon '18
Thea Warren '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 8 5 10 5 5 53 MRP Kia Meiklejohn '18
Roxanne Porter-Smith '18
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 3 9 7 7 10 9 62 MRP Neil Roberts '11
No Show
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 2 7 8 9 9 10 63 MRP
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 5 DNF 10 8 8 7 65 MRP Manuel Gomez '17
Laurel Speed '16
Loggers Loggers Loggers DNF 11 11 11 11 76 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 1 2 3 5 1 32 MRP Maria Isberg '20
Colin Bishop '20
Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 2 1 4 3 3 33 MRP
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 8 4 5 1 4 42 MRP Dylan Shaver '20
Emily Spencer '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 5 3 7 4 5 44 MRP Leh Smallshaw '17
Lara Gemmrich '17
Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 3 DNS 1 2 8 46 MRP
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 1 4 7 8 6 2 47 MRP
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 2 7 6 2 7 9 51 MRP
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 5 6 5 6 8 7 52 MRP Ted Alley '16
Hunter Arcese '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 9 9 9 9 6 62 MRP Alexander Brown '19
Heather Lee '16
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Thunderbirds 3 10 DNF 10 10 10 72 MRP Laura Stewart '17
Gregory Woollgar '17
Loggers Loggers Loggers 11 8 11 11 11 72 MRP

Conditions — 02/27/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1020.8 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From SSW (196°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine6.7 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1020.8 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at British Columbia: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−1.20 ± 0.48)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at British Columbia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at British Columbia, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →