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Delaware Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 18 15 33
2 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 28 21 49
3 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 42 40 82
4 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 62 51 113
5 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 53 69 122
6 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 64 59 123
7 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 66 77 143
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 6 4 5 1 1 28 Alexander Johnston '18 [1-8]
Ryan Dorsey '20 [9-12]
Jaimie Martin '18 [1-4]
Ryan Howard '20 [5-12]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 4 5 3 3 4 4 1 3 2 4 5 42 Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [1-12]
Megan Parker '19 [1-4, 8-12]
Angelina Graham '19 [5-7]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 3 3 4 4 3 7 3 DNS 7 5 3 53 George Kevrekidis '18 [1-12]
Katherine Trout '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Christina De Soto '20 [5-6]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 5 7 5 6 5 6 5 2 6 BYE BYE 62 Martha Diezemann '18 [1-8]
Sean Crandall '19 [9-10]
Evan Shone '17 [11-12]
Ryan Wilityer '18 [1-4]
Lauren Lee '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Chloe Hoag '20 [7-8]
Morgan Dezendorf '17 [11-12]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 6 6 6 7 7 6 3 4 6 3 6 4 64 Jennifer Suter '19
Carolyn Weiler '20
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 7 7 4 6 5 7 5 7 5 4 3 6 66 Tiago Da Costa '19
Samuel Mcarthur '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 15
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 21 Zachary Thomas '18 [1-12]
Madeline Mulligan '20 [1-10]
Umd Test '25 [11-12]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 3 3 5 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 40 Sean Boland '18
Kristen Donohue '18
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 4 4 3 5 3 5 4 5 6 BYE BYE 51 Cathleen Murphy '19 [1-6, 11-12]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [7-10]
Anna Cummings '18 [1-4, 11-12]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [5-10]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 5 5 3 5 6 5 6 6 6 4 4 4 59 Jesse Whipple '20
Evan Terkanian '19
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 7 6 DNS 6 4 6 4 5 DNF 5 5 5 69 Samuel Cabot '17 [1-4, 7-12]
Evan Trauger '19 [5-6]
Nate Levit '20 [1-4, 7-12]
Sarah Mcguire '18 [5-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 6 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 4 7 6 6 77 Marisa Freedman '17
Brandon Ellis '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights445566771122
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens556677112233
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps667711223344
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings112233445566
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers223344556677
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange334455667711
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats771122334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights445566771122
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens556677112233
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps667711223344
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings112233445566
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers223344556677
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange334455667711
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats771122334455
School / Team SkipperCrew
Ocean County College Ocean County College Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [1-12] Megan Parker '19 [1-4, 8-12]
Angelina Graham '19 [5-7]
Vikings Sean Boland '18 Kristen Donohue '18
Princeton University Princeton University George Kevrekidis '18 [1-12] Katherine Trout '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Christina De Soto '20 [5-6]
Tigers Samuel Cabot '17 [1-4, 7-12]
Evan Trauger '19 [5-6]		 Nate Levit '20 [1-4, 7-12]
Sarah Mcguire '18 [5-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Tiago Da Costa '19 Samuel Mcarthur '20
Orange Marisa Freedman '17 Brandon Ellis '18
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Jennifer Suter '19 Carolyn Weiler '20
Black Knights Jesse Whipple '20 Evan Terkanian '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Martha Diezemann '18 [1-8]
Sean Crandall '19 [9-10]
Evan Shone '17 [11-12]		 Ryan Wilityer '18 [1-4]
Lauren Lee '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Chloe Hoag '20 [7-8]
Morgan Dezendorf '17 [11-12]
Blue Hens Cathleen Murphy '19 [1-6, 11-12]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [7-10]		 Anna Cummings '18 [1-4, 11-12]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [5-10]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Alexander Johnston '18 [1-8]
Ryan Dorsey '20 [9-12]		 Jaimie Martin '18 [1-4]
Ryan Howard '20 [5-12]
Terps Zachary Thomas '18 [1-12] Madeline Mulligan '20 [1-10]
Umd Test '25 [11-12]

Conditions — 04/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From N (1°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.18 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · N 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.32
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.41 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →