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Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 26 45 71
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 66 20 86
3 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 44 47 91
4 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 31 67 98
5 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 65 63 128
6 University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 92 68 160
7 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 72 98 170
8 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 123 126 249
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 3 2 2 1 2 BKD 4 26 Patrick Thompson-Sevcik '20
Angelina Graham '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 2 4 3 4 1 2 2 4 1 1 2 1 3 1 31 Evan Shone '17 [1-14]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-10]
Morgan Dezendorf '17 [11-14]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 2 1 2 2 3 5 1 5 3 4 7 1 5 44 Jeffrey Proko '18 [1-6, 13-14]
Abigail Proko '20 [7-12]
Aram Donabed '20 [1-2]
Alexandra Harris '18 [3-4, 11-12]
Jacob Nantz '21 [5-6]
Molly Jean Henebury '19 [7-8]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [9-10]
Alexander Salefski '21 [13-14]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 4 5 4 3 6 7 4 2 4 5 3 3 DNF 6 65 Veronica Lane '19
Thomas Cahill '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 6 3 7 6 4 6 3 6 6 4 6 5 2 2 66 Declan Gaylo '19 [1-14]
Peter Wiley '19 [1-10]
Muriel Weathers '19 [11-14]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 5 6 5 5 5 4 7 5 3 7 7 6 4 3 72 Geoffrey Wells '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Jeffrey Pepin '19 [3-4, 7-8, 13-14]
Jan Niec '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Katherine Deats '17 [3-4, 7-8, 13-14]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 7 7 6 7 7 5 6 7 7 6 5 4 DNS DNS 92 Samuel Place '20
Caitlin Russell '18
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 8 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 8 DNS DNF DNS 123 Ruby Garcia '18
Jack Bui '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 4 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 20 Zane Tinnell '20 [1-14]
Blake Loncharich '19 [1-10]
Max Pierce '20 [11-14]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 3 1 2 5 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 6 3 4 45 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Megan Parker '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 3 5 2 1 1 5 6 4 3 1 2 DNF 3 47 Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-6, 9-10]
James Giebel '21 [7]
William Simon '21 [8]
Haley Clemson '20 [11-14]
James Giebel '21 [1-2, 8]
Alison Reed '21 [3-4, 11-12]
Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [5-6]
William Simon '21 [7]
Cody Mattson '21 [9-10]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [13-14]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 4 2 4 4 4 5 4 4 6 6 6 5 4 5 63 Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-14]
Ryan Hallak '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Katherine Foley '19 [3-4, 9-14]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 5 6 6 DNS 4 DNF 3 5 2 5 4 2 2 67 Martha Diezemann '18 [1-5]
Hannah Babbitz '19 [6-8]
Sean Crandall '19 [9-14]
Ryan Wilityer '18 [1-2, 5]
Anna Cummings '18 [3-4, 6-8]
Calyn O'Connell '17 [9-10]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [11-14]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 6 6 3 3 5 6 3 5 2 5 3 3 DNS DNS 68 Paul Place '19
Julien Montpetit '18
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 7 7 7 7 DNS DNS 6 7 7 7 7 7 5 6 98 Kieran Maroney '18 [1-10]
Heather Smith '19 [11-14]
Hannah Piston '19 [1-10]
Elizabeth Mattingly '18 [11-14]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 126 David Chung '19
Morgan Stockdill '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights44556677881122
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens55667788112233
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344556677
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks22334455667788
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33445566778811
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa66778811223344
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers77881122334455
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88112233445566

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights44556677881122
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens55667788112233
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344556677
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks22334455667788
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33445566778811
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa66778811223344
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers77881122334455
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88112233445566
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Jeffrey Proko '18 [1-6, 13-14]
Abigail Proko '20 [7-12]		 Aram Donabed '20 [1-2]
Alexandra Harris '18 [3-4, 11-12]
Jacob Nantz '21 [5-6]
Molly Jean Henebury '19 [7-8]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [9-10]
Alexander Salefski '21 [13-14]
Dragons Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-6, 9-10]
James Giebel '21 [7]
William Simon '21 [8]
Haley Clemson '20 [11-14]		 James Giebel '21 [1-2, 8]
Alison Reed '21 [3-4, 11-12]
Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [5-6]
William Simon '21 [7]
Cody Mattson '21 [9-10]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [13-14]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Veronica Lane '19 Thomas Cahill '18
Hawks Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-14] Ryan Hallak '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Katherine Foley '19 [3-4, 9-14]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Patrick Thompson-Sevcik '20 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Nina Van De Vaarst '19 Megan Parker '19
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Ruby Garcia '18 Jack Bui '19
Black Knights David Chung '19 Morgan Stockdill '20
University of Delaware University of Delaware Evan Shone '17 [1-14] Stephen Schindel '19 [1-10]
Morgan Dezendorf '17 [11-14]
Blue Hens Martha Diezemann '18 [1-5]
Hannah Babbitz '19 [6-8]
Sean Crandall '19 [9-14]		 Ryan Wilityer '18 [1-2, 5]
Anna Cummings '18 [3-4, 6-8]
Calyn O'Connell '17 [9-10]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [11-14]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa Samuel Place '20 Caitlin Russell '18
University of Ottawa Paul Place '19 Julien Montpetit '18
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Geoffrey Wells '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Jeffrey Pepin '19 [3-4, 7-8, 13-14]		 Jan Niec '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Katherine Deats '17 [3-4, 7-8, 13-14]
Pitt Panthers Kieran Maroney '18 [1-10]
Heather Smith '19 [11-14]		 Hannah Piston '19 [1-10]
Elizabeth Mattingly '18 [11-14]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Declan Gaylo '19 [1-14] Peter Wiley '19 [1-10]
Muriel Weathers '19 [11-14]
Clippers Zane Tinnell '20 [1-14] Blake Loncharich '19 [1-10]
Max Pierce '20 [11-14]

Conditions — 05/06/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 995.2 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.5 kn
avg  ·  max 14.5 kn
Gusts to 28.6 kn
From SW (221°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity66% Pressure995.2 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · W 13 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Drexel: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →