Engineer's Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 22 18 40
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 12 33 45
3 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 21 25 46
4 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 28 29 57
5 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 48 23 71
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 40 38 78
7 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 53 56 109
8 Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 65 62 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 12 Zane Tinnell '20 [1-8]
Muriel Weathers '19 [1-2]
Blake Loncharich '19 [3-6]
Galen Ng '20 [7-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 5 3 3 2 2 3 1 21 Cooper Siepert '20
Sarah Hilditch '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 3 1 1 4 4 2 3 22 Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-8]
Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Aram Donabed '20 [5-6]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 3 1 4 6 3 3 4 4 28 Patrick Thompson-Sevcik '20
Angelina Graham '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 4 5 5 5 5 6 5 40 Sean Crandall '19
Stephen Schindel '19
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 6 6 7 4 7 7 5 6 48 Veronica Lane '19
Katherine Foley '19
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 7 6 BKD 6 6 7 7 53 Jeremy Welsch '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Edgard Sanchez '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Anthony Principe '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Pooley '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 8 8 8 7 DNS DNS 8 8 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 1 2 3 1 1 2 4 4 18 Haley Clemson '20 [1-8]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [1-2]
Abigail Proko '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Alison Reed '21 [5-6]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 3 3 1 2 5 3 BKD BKD 23 Kayleigh Godfrey '19
Thomas Cahill '18
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 4 5 5 4 4 1 1 1 25 Grier Wakefield '18 [1-5]
Garrett Lawlor '20 [6-8]
Patrick Hegarty '18 [1-5]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 1 2 OCS 7 4 2 2 29 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Megan Parker '19
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 6 4 6 3 2 6 3 3 33 Declan Gaylo '19
Peter Wiley '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 6 4 5 3 5 5 5 38 Laila Van Cleve '19 [1-8]
Chloe Hoag '20 [1-5]
Patrick Cullington '17 [6-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 8 7 7 6 6 8 7 7 56 Declan Mcnamara '20 [1-4, 6-8]
Robert Jarrett '17 [5]
Maxwell Denn '18 [1-4, 6-8]
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 7 DNF DNS DNS DNS 7 6 6 62
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens66778811
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55667788
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers77881122
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks22334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33445566
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights44556677
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88112233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens66778811
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55667788
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers77881122
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks22334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33445566
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights44556677
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88112233
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Madeline Delvescovo '20 [1-8] Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Aram Donabed '20 [5-6]
Dragons Haley Clemson '20 [1-8] Elizabeth Calio '20 [1-2]
Abigail Proko '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Alison Reed '21 [5-6]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Veronica Lane '19 Katherine Foley '19
Hawks Kayleigh Godfrey '19 Thomas Cahill '18
Ocean County College Ocean County College Patrick Thompson-Sevcik '20 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Nina Van De Vaarst '19 Megan Parker '19
Rutgers University Rutgers University Jeremy Welsch '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Edgard Sanchez '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Anthony Principe '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Pooley '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Scarlet Knights Declan Mcnamara '20 [1-4, 6-8]
Robert Jarrett '17 [5]
Maxwell Denn '18 [1-4, 6-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Cooper Siepert '20 Sarah Hilditch '20
Mariners Grier Wakefield '18 [1-5]
Garrett Lawlor '20 [6-8]
Patrick Hegarty '18 [1-5]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Sean Crandall '19 Stephen Schindel '19
Blue Hens Laila Van Cleve '19 [1-8] Chloe Hoag '20 [1-5]
Patrick Cullington '17 [6-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Zane Tinnell '20 [1-8] Muriel Weathers '19 [1-2]
Blake Loncharich '19 [3-6]
Galen Ng '20 [7-8]
Clippers Declan Gaylo '19 Peter Wiley '19

Conditions — 05/13/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 99%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 14.8 kn
Gusts to 29.7 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity99% Pressure1012.3 hPa Rain0.69 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 13 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Webb Institute: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.38 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Webb Institute by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Webb Institute, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →