Lil 3

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 15
2 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 37
3 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 42
4 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 56
5 Williams College Williams College Ephs 77
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags A 2 2 1 2 7 Mitchell Owen '20
Allison Krauss '20
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags B 4 1 2 1 8 Lillian Vincens '19
Sydney Delfico '17
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals A 1 3 4 4 12 Henry Bushnell '17
Hadley Feingold '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 3 4 3 5 15 Vick Xu '19
Sara Gilmore '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 8 6 5 3 22 Nick Jaczko '19
Benjamin Dohan '21
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs A 6 5 6 6 23 Luke Haggerty '18 [1-4]
Mclean Cozine '20 [1-2]
Sophia Maldonado '20 [3-4]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals B 7 8 8 7 30 Mika Braun '19
Jenny Chelmow '19
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs B 9 9 7 8 33 Sarah Zuckerman '17 [1-4]
Sam Alpert '18 [1-2]
Chirag Malkani '20 [3-4]
Williams College Williams College Ephs A 5 7 DNF DNS 34 Maeve Serino '17
Maren Strand '20
Williams College Williams College Ephs B 10 DNS DNS DNS 43 Dorothy Gaby '18
Dante Hirata-Epstein '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs1144
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags4455
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers5566
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals6677
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs7788

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs8899
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags991010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers10101111
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals11111212
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs121211

Conditions — 04/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1026.1 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From NNW (335°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1026.1 hPa Rain0.08 in

What this breeze does at Middlebury — from fleet racing

Breeze: NW about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Middlebury in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Middlebury by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Middlebury, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →