SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 7 13
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 9 8 17
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 19 12 31
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 12 19 31
5 Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 18 19 37
6 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 28 23 51
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 24 31 55
8 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 30 31 61
9 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 36 33 69
10 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 35 39 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 1 1 1 6 Robert Gruskos '20
Madison Carroll '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 2 2 4 9 Alex Myers '19
Elizabeth Lonergan '20
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 3 3 2 12 Darby Reddaway '19
David Schnelle '18
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 6 5 4 3 18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 6 6 5 19 Andrew Edwards '18
Caroline Eberhardt '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 4 5 10 24 Alexander Weisel '19 [1-4]
Ross Oliver '19 [1-2]
Davidson Goldsmith '18 [3-4]
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 8 RDG 7 6 28
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 8 8 7 30 Kirsten Failing '17 [1-2]
Jonathan Ashworth '17 [3-4]
David Reuss '17 [1-2]
Kirsten Failing '17 [3-4]
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 9 7 10 9 35
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 10 9 9 8 36 Nathan Brott '18 [1-2]
Ian Cannon '19 [3-4]
Sam Stone '20 [1-2]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 3 2 1 7 Samuel Cabiness '20
Alex Marshall '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 3 2 1 2 8 Christopher Chaplin '20
Ashley Thess '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 1 5 4 12 Carly Pedron '18
Adam Augustine '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 6 3 5 19 Matthew Dalton '20 [1-2]
David Sutton '19 [3-4]
Natalie Daugherty '20 [1-2]
Matthew Dalton '20 [3-4]
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 6 4 6 3 19
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 4 5 7 7 23
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 9 9 6 31 Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-2]
Clare Sweeney '19 [3-4]
Thomas Bracken '19 [1-2]
David Reuss '17 [3-4]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 8 7 8 8 31 Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-4]
Meredith Herbst '18 [1-2]
Erica Trotter '17 [3-4]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 10 10 4 9 33 William Axon '20
Alex Marshall '20
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 9 8 DNS DNS 39
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1133
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2244
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats3355
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs6688
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4466
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5577
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed7799
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers881010
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt9911
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons101022

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers2244
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3355
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats4466
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs7799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5577
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack6688
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed881010
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers9911
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt101022
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons1133

Conditions — 03/25/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1021.3 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 21.6 kn
From SSW (191°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1021.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →