SAISA South Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 16 9 25
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 10 18 28
3 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 24 9 33
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 13 24 37
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 27 30 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 1 1 2 2 1 10 Anna Huebschmann '18
Caroline Puckette '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 2 1 1 4 13 Andre Guaragna '21
Jessica Schwartz '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 2 4 3 3 3 16 Zachary Boogaart '20
Juliana Cromie '20
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 5 4 5 4 4 2 24 Jeffrey Hayden '20
Alexandria Church '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 5 3 5 5 5 27 Kyle Runnfeldt '20
Charlotte Samson '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 2 2 1 2 1 9 David Beaudry '20
Maya Kwasniewski '19
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 2 1 1 2 1 2 9 Curtis Woodworth '17
Rafael Melendez '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 3 3 3 3 3 18 Hana Zwick '18
Jean Crotty '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 4 4 4 4 4 24 Courtney Purcell '20
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 5 5 5 5 5 30 Olivia Balistreri '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons113355
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators441133
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State224411
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins335522
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls552244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons224411
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators552244
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State335522
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins441133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls113355

Conditions — 03/18/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1025.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From WSW (241°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1025.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.70 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →