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2018 Buckeye Interconference

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 22 21 43
2 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 27 33 60
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 20 44 64
4 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 48 42 90
5 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 69 65 134
6 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 61 75 136
7 Denison University Denison University Big Red 53 85 138
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 88 84 172
9 Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 107 MRP 67 MRP 174 MRP
10 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 99 90 189
11 Broncos Broncos Broncos 106 MRP 94 MRP 200 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 2 2 2 1 4 2 1 2 1 20 Grant Glover '19
Matthew Moores '21
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 1 1 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 22 Reid Shanabrook '22
Emma Corbitt '19
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 2 3 4 1 9 1 1 3 1 2 27 Lucia Albelda Gimeno '19
Jacob Turenne '19
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 4 5 5 3 7 4 6 6 4 48 John Lowry '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Colin Mackay '17 [3-4, 9-10]
Caitlin Mutti '20 [1-2]
Chase Mercer '22 [3-4]
Eric Lynch '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Kaitlin Conner '20 [7-8]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 5 5 6 6 4 5 6 4 5 7 53 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Alexandra Hogan '20
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 7 6 3 4 8 2 8 10 7 6 61 Henry Sanders '18 [1-6]
Regina Trejo '21 [7-10]
Regina Trejo '21 [1-6]
Sophia Faram '19 [7-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 8 7 10 7 5 6 10 7 4 5 69 Jack Rodman '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Stephen King '21 [3-4]
Ian Pippert-Ladd '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Zoe Barricklow '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Grant Tyson '20 [3-4, 7-8]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 8 8 10 10 11 11 8 8 8 88 Will Brooks '19
Conor Murphy '20
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 11 9 9 9 11 8 9 11 11 11 99 Andrew Hakopian '20 [1-10]
Casey Schomer '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Emileigh Bechtolt '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Broncos Broncos Broncos 9 10 11 11 7 9 5 5 9 10 106 MRP
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 10 11 7 8 6 10 7 9 10 9 107 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 4 4 1 3 3 1 1 2 1 21 Nicholas Brady '19
Danielle Ababa '20
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 3 1 6 2 2 5 3 3 5 3 33 Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '20 [1-10]
Ethan Mendez '21 [1-4]
Alexa English '21 [5-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 5 8 6 4 1 5 4 1 4 42 Brian Pribe '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Kristen Ruta '19 [3-4]
Drew Blackburn '17 [9-10]
Kaitlin Conner '20 [1-2]
Ashley Carr '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Caitlin Mutti '20 [5-6]
Chase Mercer '22 [7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 6 5 5 1 9 2 2 6 6 44 Max Ellsworth '21
Kyle Doyle '20
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 11 9 2 4 11 6 4 10 3 5 65 Steven Neveadomi '21 [1-10]
Madeline Osborne '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Lori Myer '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 8 3 1 3 6 2 6 5 4 9 67 MRP
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 5 2 7 7 8 7 11 9 11 8 75 Christian Palanza '21
Brandon Ellis '18
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 10 3 11 7 8 8 7 10 11 84 Madelyn Giles '20
Katherine Richardson '19
Denison University Denison University Big Red 6 8 11 9 9 11 9 8 7 7 85 John Bennet '18
Daydeon Baron-Galbavi '21
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 10 11 10 8 10 10 10 11 8 2 90 Olivia Kruczynska '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Mark Myers '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Ronald Fiala '21 [1-6]
Garrett Hall '22 [7-10]
Broncos Broncos Broncos 7 7 9 10 5 4 7 6 9 10 94 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red44668818182020
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1818202023235577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines19192121446688
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5577101019192121
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats8818182020232355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 16688181820202323
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 27710101919212144
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange1010191921214466
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets2020232355771010
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies21214466881818
BroncosBroncos Broncos2323557710101919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red5577101019192121
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini19192121446688
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines2020232355771010
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack6688181820202323
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats1010191921214466
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 17710101919212144
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 28818182020232355
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange1818202023235577
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets21214466881818
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies2323557710101919
BroncosBroncos Broncos44668818182020
School / Team SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University Margot Sherman Jollis '18 Alexandra Hogan '20
Big Red John Bennet '18 Daydeon Baron-Galbavi '21
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Will Brooks '19 Conor Murphy '20
Wolfpack Madelyn Giles '20 Katherine Richardson '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Jack Rodman '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Stephen King '21 [3-4]
Ian Pippert-Ladd '20 [5-6, 9-10]		 Zoe Barricklow '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Grant Tyson '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Buckeyes 1 Steven Neveadomi '21 [1-10] Madeline Osborne '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Lori Myer '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Andrew Hakopian '20 [1-10] Casey Schomer '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Emileigh Bechtolt '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Buckeyes 2 Olivia Kruczynska '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Mark Myers '21 [3-4, 9-10]		 Ronald Fiala '21 [1-6]
Garrett Hall '22 [7-10]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Henry Sanders '18 [1-6]
Regina Trejo '21 [7-10]		 Regina Trejo '21 [1-6]
Sophia Faram '19 [7-10]
Orange Christian Palanza '21 Brandon Ellis '18
University of Illinois University of Illinois Lucia Albelda Gimeno '19 Jacob Turenne '19
Illini Jacob Dannhausen-Brun '20 [1-10] Ethan Mendez '21 [1-4]
Alexa English '21 [5-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Grant Glover '19 Matthew Moores '21
Wolverines Max Ellsworth '21 Kyle Doyle '20
University of Toledo University of Toledo John Lowry '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Colin Mackay '17 [3-4, 9-10]		 Caitlin Mutti '20 [1-2]
Chase Mercer '22 [3-4]
Eric Lynch '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Kaitlin Conner '20 [7-8]
Rockets Brian Pribe '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Kristen Ruta '19 [3-4]
Drew Blackburn '17 [9-10]		 Kaitlin Conner '20 [1-2]
Ashley Carr '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Caitlin Mutti '20 [5-6]
Chase Mercer '22 [7-8]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Reid Shanabrook '22 Emma Corbitt '19
Hokies Nicholas Brady '19 Danielle Ababa '20

Conditions — 04/07/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1019.1 hPa

Temperature

35°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 27°F
Feels like 27°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From NNW (331°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1019.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.30 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →