Army Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 9 9 18
2 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 18 33
3 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 26 17 43
4 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 20 26 46
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 9 John Dixon '20
Max Pierce '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 1 1 4 3 2 2 2 15 Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Elizabeth Calio '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 3 4 2 2 3 3 3 20 Jonathan Gorman '21 [1-7]
Leon Yang '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Pray '21 [3-4, 7]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 26 Nina Tucker '18
Ruby Garcia '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 9 Alec Bidwell '21 [1-7]
Robert Maes '21 [1-6]
Matthew Migliozzi '20 [7]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 2 2 2 1 3 4 3 17 Chloe Headrick '21
James Nichols '21
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 3 3 4 2 1 2 18 Stephen Young '21
Jacob Nantz '21
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 26 Alisher Khodjaniyazov '20
Gaura Mudgal '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights16161212161612
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons12121616121216
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves14141818141418
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers18181414181814

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights18181414181814
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons14141818141418
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves16161212161612
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers12121616121216
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Elizabeth Jarvie '18 Elizabeth Calio '20
Dragons Stephen Young '21 Jacob Nantz '21
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Jonathan Gorman '21 [1-7] Leon Yang '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Pray '21 [3-4, 7]
Seawolves Alisher Khodjaniyazov '20 Gaura Mudgal '18
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Nina Tucker '18 Ruby Garcia '18
Black Knights Chloe Headrick '21 James Nichols '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute John Dixon '20 Max Pierce '20
Clippers Alec Bidwell '21 [1-7] Robert Maes '21 [1-6]
Matthew Migliozzi '20 [7]

Conditions — 04/28/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1009.2 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1009.2 hPa Rain0.10 in

What this breeze does at Army — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Army in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Army by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Army, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →