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Delaware Spring Open 2018

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 14 11 25
2 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 31 30 61
3 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 24 40 64
4 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 41 MRP 28 MRP 69 MRP
5 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 31 MRP 40 MRP 71 MRP
6 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 39 36 75
7 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 57 25 82
8 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 37 52 89
9 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 46 54 100
10 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 50 55 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 3 1 2 2 4 2 14 Henry Sanders '18
Samuel Mcarthur '20
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 2 7 3 3 2 7 24 Brendan O’Connor '21
Genevieve Lee '20
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 1 2 1 1 3 3 31 MRP
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 6 5 4 5 5 6 31 Madeline Mulligan '20
Rowan Afflerbach '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 8 7 6 6 5 37 Morgan Kelly '21 [1-4]
Martha Diezemann '18 [5-6]
Julia Walker '20 [1-4]
Alexandra Hanson '21 [5-6]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 7 6 8 4 10 4 39 Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Jamie Szul '21
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 4 3 5 7 1 1 41 MRP Jacob Stoner '19
Ryan Dorsey '20
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 9 4 9 9 7 8 46 Robert Jarrett '17
Emily Pooley '19
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 10 6 8 9 9 50 Elizabeth Bailey '21
Evan Trauger '19
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 10 9 10 10 8 10 57 Noah Yoskowitz '19
Brett Defoy '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 3 2 2 2 1 11 John Colby '20
John Lightcap '20
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 4 2 6 5 4 4 25 Erica Stone '20
Marie Hough '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 28 MRP Andrew Bobbitt '18
Matthew Nicholson '18
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 5 6 5 3 6 5 30 Lauren Brown '21 [1-6]
Sean Malone '19 [1-5]
Gabriela Bogren-Munoz '21 [6]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 6 5 8 6 5 6 36 James Giebel '21
Jacob Nantz '21
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 3 4 3 4 3 3 40 MRP
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 7 8 4 7 7 7 40 Erin O'Connor '20
Charles Debski '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 8 7 7 10 10 10 52 Robert Cathell '21 [1-4]
Anna Cummings '18 [5-6]
Gabrielle Furman '18 [1-4]
Austin Weigel '21 [5-6]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 9 10 9 8 9 9 54 Maxwell Denn '18
Karina Stech '21
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers DNF 9 10 9 8 8 55 Ernest Ruehl '19
Rafael Tafel '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens778899
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds223344
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 188991010
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 299101011
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions334455
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers445566
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights556677
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange667788
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats10101122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens778899
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds223344
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 188991010
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 299101011
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions334455
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers445566
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights556677
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange667788
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats10101122

Conditions — 04/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1029.8 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From NW (305°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1029.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · SE 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →