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Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dragons 1 Dragons 1 Dragons 1 11 14 25
2 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 19 34 53
3 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 30 31 61
4 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 30 40 70
5 Dragons 2 Dragons 2 Dragons 2 38 41 79
6 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 46 33 79
7 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 55 42 97
8 Webb Institute Webb Institute Seamen 59 50 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Dragons 1 Dragons 1 Dragons 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 11
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 3 3 1 2 2 2 5 19 Troy Dittenhofer '20
Angelina Graham '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 1 2 4 6 7 3 3 30 Martha Diezemann '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Sean Crandall '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Anna Cummings '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephen Schindel '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 5 4 4 3 4 3 5 2 30 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Kayleigh Godfrey '19
Dragons 2 Dragons 2 Dragons 2 3 6 5 5 3 4 6 6 38
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 7 5 8 7 5 6 4 4 46 Geoffrey Wells '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bryce Merrill '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Hannah Piston '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Tranfalia '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 6 8 7 6 8 5 8 7 55 Robert Jarrett '17
Emily Pooley '19
Webb Institute Webb Institute Seamen 8 7 6 8 7 8 7 8 59 Ryan Flanagan '21 [1-8]
Inga Johansson '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Nick Barron '21 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Dragons 1 Dragons 1 Dragons 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 5 14
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 2 4 3 4 7 3 5 3 31 Veronica Lane '19
Katherine Foley '19
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 3 3 8 8 2 1 7 1 33 Aaron Fairchild '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Nicolia '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Mckenzie Brown '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Westrick '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 2 6 1 3 5 8 4 34 Sean Boland '18
Megan Parker '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 6 2 6 8 7 3 2 40 Hannah Babbitz '19
Sophia Caracuzzo '20
Dragons 2 Dragons 2 Dragons 2 4 5 4 3 4 8 6 7 41
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights BKD 8 7 5 5 4 2 6 42 Emily Pooley '19 [1-2]
Jeremy Welsch '18 [3-8]
Kyle Benjamin '21 [1-2]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Seamen 7 7 5 7 6 6 4 8 50 Robert Maes '21
Max Pierce '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens66882244
Dragons 1Dragons 1 Dragons 111335577
Dragons 2Dragons 2 Dragons 222446688
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks33557711
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings44668822
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers77113355
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights55771133
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Seamen88224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens77113355
Dragons 1Dragons 1 Dragons 122446688
Dragons 2Dragons 2 Dragons 233557711
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks44668822
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings55771133
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers88224466
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights66882244
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Seamen11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Monmouth University Monmouth University Nina Van De Vaarst '19 Kayleigh Godfrey '19
Hawks Veronica Lane '19 Katherine Foley '19
Ocean County College Ocean County College Troy Dittenhofer '20 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Sean Boland '18 Megan Parker '19
Rutgers University Rutgers University Robert Jarrett '17 Emily Pooley '19
Scarlet Knights Emily Pooley '19 [1-2]
Jeremy Welsch '18 [3-8]		 Kyle Benjamin '21 [1-2]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Martha Diezemann '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Sean Crandall '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Anna Cummings '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephen Schindel '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Blue Hens Hannah Babbitz '19 Sophia Caracuzzo '20
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Geoffrey Wells '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bryce Merrill '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Hannah Piston '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Tranfalia '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Pitt Panthers Aaron Fairchild '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Nicolia '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Mckenzie Brown '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Westrick '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Ryan Flanagan '21 [1-8] Inga Johansson '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Nick Barron '21 [5-6]
Seamen Robert Maes '21 Max Pierce '20

Conditions — 05/05/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine5.7 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn* · E 13 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Drexel: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →