Cream City Classic

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 58
2 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 73
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 80
4 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 118
5 Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 150
6 Marquette University Marquette University Warriors 150
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers A 5 1 3 6 1 1 1 5 23 Liam Walz '21
Sarah Corder '23
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers A 4 3 2 2 6 4 3 1 25 Rishab Nayar '22
Jacob Segal '22
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles A 1 5 4 4 2 2 7 3 28 Bobby Sessions '20 [1-8]
Katie Toohey '20 [1-4]
Makena Walsh '21 [5-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles B 2 2 1 3 7 5 2 8 30 Solomon Dworsky '21 [1-8]
Anne Clark '19 [1-4]
Jess Lyon '22 [5-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers A 3 6 5 1 4 3 8 2 32 Tye Rubin '22
Hayden Frentzel '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers B 7 4 9 8 3 8 5 4 48 Jack Barnes '21
Adam Mcavoy '22
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers B 8 9 6 5 5 7 4 6 50 Ryan Higgins '20
Nichole Kievit '19
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones A 6 7 7 9 9 9 6 7 60 Stefan Peterson '19 [1-8]
Delaney Kidd '22 [1-4]
Yousef Al-Absi '19 [5-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Warriors A 9 8 8 7 8 12 11 9 72 Nicholas Carney '20 [1-8]
Stacy Mellantine '19 [1-4]
Caroline Alcock '22 [5-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Warriors B 11 11 10 11 10 6 9 10 78 Learon Mcginn '19 [1-4]
Etain Mckinney '22 [5-8]
Lauren Nelson '22 [1-4]
Erik Floyd '21 [5-8]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones B 10 10 DNF 10 12 11 12 12 90 Austin Hanus '20
Alex Lorang '20
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers B 12 DNF DNS DNS 11 10 10 11 93 Dylan Morris '20
Daniel Burns '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers11223377
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones22115252
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles33778899
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Warriors77332211
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers889910101212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers99887733

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers10101212
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones121210109988
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles5252
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Warriors12121010
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers52521122
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers5252

Conditions — 04/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

35°F
↑ 36°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 26°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From WNW (285°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine2.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1013.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn · N 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marquette: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 13 labelled days at Marquette, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →