Jeremy A. Pinkerton Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 5 10
2 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 30 11 41
3 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 21 21 42
4 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 20 24 44
5 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 21 24 45
6 American University American University Eagles 28 23 51
7 Johnnies Johnnies Johnnies 21 35 56
8 Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 34 38 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 1 1 1 1 5 Louis Margay '22
Fiona Lobon '22
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 6 2 4 5 20 Alison Reed '21
Jamie Szul '21
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 2 3 6 2 8 21 Rachel Prucnal '20 [1-4]
Umd Test '25 [5]
Julie Coffman '22 [1-4]
Jacob Trovato '22 [5]
Johnnies Johnnies Johnnies 5 5 4 3 4 21
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 6 4 3 5 3 21 Parker Bunting '22 [1-5]
Celeste Campos '22 [1-2]
Caroline Hearle '22 [3-5]
American University American University Eagles 4 2 7 8 7 28 Cala Coffman '21 [1-5]
Zoe Gluck '19 [1-2, 5]
Marty Isaacson '22 [3-4]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 8 8 5 7 2 30 Eliott Wallace '22 [1-4]
Madeline Mulligan '20 [5]
Kevin Luo '20 [1-4]
Katherine Crawford '22 [5]
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 7 7 8 6 6 34 Andrew Arndt '19 [1-4]
Meredith Sander '19 [5]
Shane Rumbaugh '19 [1-4]
James Pritts '19 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 1 1 1 1 5 Jack Carminati '22
Anna Cutler '20
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 1 2 2 3 2 2 11 Michael Bisson '22 [1-5]
Finley Potter '22 [1-2]
Charles Cannon '22 [3-5]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 5 4 4 5 21 Audrey Fulk '19 [1-5]
Katie Fosnight '22 [1-3]
Katelyn Wright '18 [4-5]
American University American University Eagles 6 6 5 3 3 23 Marty Isaacson '22 [1-2]
Duncan Feighan '22 [3-5]
Alice Grimes '22 [1-4]
Samuel Sjoberg '21 [5]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 4 2 7 7 24 Tobias Green '22
Lillian Cardonne '23
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 5 3 6 6 4 24 Ryan Dorsey '20 [1-4]
Anna O'Connell '22 [5]
Xi Wen '20 [1-4]
Katherine Crawford '22 [5]
Johnnies Johnnies Johnnies 7 7 8 5 8 35
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions DNF 8 7 8 6 38 Petar Dotchev '19
Benjamin Uberti '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11335
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons22446
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 166882
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 277113
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen55771
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions33557
JohnniesJohnnies Johnnies44668
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe88224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles22446
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons33557
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 177113
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps 288224
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen66882
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions44668
JohnniesJohnnies Johnnies55771
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Cala Coffman '21 [1-5] Zoe Gluck '19 [1-2, 5]
Marty Isaacson '22 [3-4]
Eagles Marty Isaacson '22 [1-2]
Duncan Feighan '22 [3-5]
Alice Grimes '22 [1-4]
Samuel Sjoberg '21 [5]
Drexel University Drexel University Alison Reed '21 Jamie Szul '21
Dragons Tobias Green '22 Lillian Cardonne '23
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Andrew Arndt '19 [1-4]
Meredith Sander '19 [5]
Shane Rumbaugh '19 [1-4]
James Pritts '19 [5]
Sea Lions Petar Dotchev '19 Benjamin Uberti '21
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Louis Margay '22 Fiona Lobon '22
Midshipmen Jack Carminati '22 Anna Cutler '20
University of Maryland University of Maryland Eliott Wallace '22 [1-4]
Madeline Mulligan '20 [5]
Kevin Luo '20 [1-4]
Katherine Crawford '22 [5]
Terps 1 Michael Bisson '22 [1-5] Finley Potter '22 [1-2]
Charles Cannon '22 [3-5]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Rachel Prucnal '20 [1-4]
Umd Test '25 [5]
Julie Coffman '22 [1-4]
Jacob Trovato '22 [5]
Terps 2 Ryan Dorsey '20 [1-4]
Anna O'Connell '22 [5]
Xi Wen '20 [1-4]
Katherine Crawford '22 [5]
William and Mary William and Mary Parker Bunting '22 [1-5] Celeste Campos '22 [1-2]
Caroline Hearle '22 [3-5]
Tribe Audrey Fulk '19 [1-5] Katie Fosnight '22 [1-3]
Katelyn Wright '18 [4-5]

Conditions — 04/06/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1023.1 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From NW (308°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1023.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 4 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maryland: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.40 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maryland by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Maryland, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →