Old South Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 11 7 18
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 9 11 20
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 21 19 40
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 32 39 71
5 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 40 37 77
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 41 39 80
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 43 40 83
8 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 44 MRP 70 MRP 114 MRP
9 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 59 57 116
10 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 71 MRP 55 MRP 126 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 1 1 4 9 Chris Kiener '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Nathan Ikeda '21 [3-4]
Nathan Ikeda '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Chris Kiener '21 [3-4]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 2 2 2 2 1 11 Anderson Brunsvold '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Snyder '22 [3-4]
Nathaniel Keyes '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 4 3 3 5 3 21 Darby Reddaway '19
David Sutton '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 7 3 6 4 6 6 32 Jared Cronin '21
Grace O'Hare '22
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 8 8 9 4 5 40 Kate Maner '20
Noah Pierzchajlo '21
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 6 5 8 9 9 41 Zachary Brown '22
Robert Dubman '21
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 9 7 7 6 7 7 43 Samantha Capozzi '21
Jennifer Morgan '21
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 5 5 4 5 3 2 44 MRP Reid Levick '20 [1-6]
Mathias Berdugo '21 [1-4]
Brendan Flood '22 [5-6]
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 10 10 10 DNF 10 8 59 Clinton Overton '20
Anna Feldbush '22
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 9 9 7 8 10 71 MRP Sara Boyd '22 [1-6]
George Koser '22 [1, 4-6]
Maria Buitrago '22 [2]
Reagan Verdi '20 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Charlie Curtis '21
Audrey Perry '21
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 2 2 2 1 2 11 Ian Hunter '21
Lauren Theis '22
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 3 3 3 3 4 19 Cole Woerner '22 [1-6]
Lily Vigtel '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Speir '21 [3-4]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 5 5 5 10 6 37 Isabel Weber '21
Sabrina Sailer '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 7 6 7 8 7 39 Conor Murphy '20
Campbell Tate '23
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 7 6 4 6 7 9 39 Matt Alburn '22
Caroline Keinath '21
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 8 7 8 6 3 40 Harrison Fang '19 [1-4]
Jack Dillard '21 [5-6]
Oliver Santry '19 [1-4]
Harrison Fang '19 [5-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 4 9 4 4 5 55 MRP George Koser '22 [1-6]
Adam Danielski '22 [1, 3-6]
Kamran Kangal '21 [2]
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 10 DNF 10 DNF 5 10 57 Daria Paulis '22
Bug Dykema '22
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 5 DNF 8 9 9 8 70 MRP Jack Rachek '21
Ryan Welsh '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113355
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles224466
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators88101022
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs991133
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets335577
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins446688
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls557799
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66881010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars779911
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks10102244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224466
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles335577
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators991133
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs10102244
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets446688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins557799
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls66881010
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack779911
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars88101022
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks113355

Conditions — 02/09/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1029.8 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From NE (47°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine4.1 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1029.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Florida: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.35
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.63 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.23 means a rating gap counts about 20% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →