SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 16 22 38
2 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 19 23 42
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 13 31 44
4 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 23 22 45
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 34 24 58
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 40 18 58
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 38 31 69
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 37 48 85
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 51 51 102
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 2 3 1 1 2 4 13 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 5 4 3 1 2 16 Jenn Casey '20
Andrew Dodd '21
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 6 1 3 2 4 3 19 Christopher Hoogenboom '22 [1-6]
Blake Andreou '19 [1-4]
Natalie Elliott '22 [5-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 3 7 2 4 6 1 23 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Ross Oliver '19
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 6 5 6 7 5 34 Robert Williams '21 [1-6]
David Robertson '21 [1-4]
Jacob Stasiewicz '22 [5-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 4 4 6 5 8 OCS 37 Oliver Whitehead '22 [1-6]
Cameron Chartier '19 [1-4]
Taylor Hetrick '21 [5-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 8 2 9 7 5 7 38 Benjamin Tonks '19
Colin Baillie '21
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 8 7 9 3 6 40 Adam Augustine '19
Maddy Caruso '21
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 9 8 8 9 8 51 Brett Latimer '20
Bennett Wilson '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 1 5 4 2 5 18 Zachary Brown '22
Ryan Hess '21
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 3 1 2 6 4 22 Cameron Rylance '19
Mitchell Odendahl '21
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 7 4 3 1 4 3 22 Amanda Heckler '21
Chase Blakleley '21
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 4 5 7 5 1 1 23 Ozgur Orun '22 [1-6]
Natalie Elliott '22 [1-2]
Ben Gode '22 [3-4]
Blake Andreou '19 [5-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 2 6 3 3 7 24 Harley Lowery '19
Anika Pruim '22
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 2 8 4 6 5 6 31 David Sutton '19 [1-6]
Caroline Speir '21 [1-4]
Brian Buck '21 [5-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 5 6 2 9 7 2 31 Tristan Britt '20
Patrick Wickson '22
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 8 7 8 8 9 8 48 Tommaso Pieroncini '19 [1-4]
Cameron Chartier '19 [5-6]
Lily Vigtel '21 [1-4]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 9 9 7 8 9 51 Brady Keesee '21
Katherine Deyoung '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113355
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers224466
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 1668811
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 2779922
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1335577
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2446688
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack557799
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks881133
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores992244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers335577
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 1779922
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 2881133
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1446688
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2557799
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack668811
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks992244
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores113355

Conditions — 03/16/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1025.3 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From NNW (332°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine7.9 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1025.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →