SAISA Spring South Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 26 10 36
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 26 21 47
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 19 34 53
4 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 28 30 58
5 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 31 47 78
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 39 49 88
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 57 41 98
8 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 63 56 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 4 2 1 1 2 4 3 19 Sean Tallman '22
Virginia Kilbourne '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 3 5 3 5 1 1 4 26 David Perez '21
Sara Flowerday '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 5 3 2 3 5 2 1 26 Brett Putnam '22
Cassandra Grinstead '22
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 6 1 4 4 2 3 6 2 28 David Beaudry '20
Juliana Cromie '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 2 1 7 6 6 3 5 31 Robert Turigliatto '22 [1-3]
John Macmoyle '21 [4-8]
Alex Sidi '21 [1-3]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 3 6 6 5 4 4 5 6 39 Kurban Ali '21
Marissa Williamson '21
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 7 8 6 7 7 7 8 57 Nick Baker '20 [1-2]
Simon Munoz '20 [3-8]
Simon Munoz '20 [1-2]
Nick Baker '20 [3-8]
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 8 8 7 8 8 8 DNF 7 63 Aaron Maggiacomo '20
Sierra King '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 Chris Kiener '21
Elizabeth Johnson '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 4 2 2 2 3 2 4 21 Kyle Runnfeldt '20
Kylee Edgar '22
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 6 3 3 3 2 7 3 30 Matthew Snyder '22 [1-4]
Nathaniel Keyes '22 [5-8]
Nathaniel Keyes '22 [1-2]
Penny Farmer '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Matthew Snyder '22 [5-6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 8 4 5 4 4 3 2 34 Evan Langford '21
Carla Szeplaki '20
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 2 8 4 6 6 5 5 41 Teagan Walsh '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Robert Anderson '21 [3]
Harrison Fang '19 [4-6]
Robert Anderson '21 [1-2, 4, 8]
Harrison Fang '19 [3, 7]
Teagan Walsh '20 [5-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 1 5 6 5 7 8 8 47 Joseph Ricca '21
Ryan Appleby '22
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 6 7 6 8 7 5 4 6 49 William Mccarthy '22
Michael Kaufman '22
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 8 5 7 7 8 8 6 7 56 Jacob Stanton '23
Kirsten Delany '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11223344
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators66554433
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles22118877
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33445566
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77881122
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish44332211
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars55667788
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11223344
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators66554433
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles22118877
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33445566
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77881122
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish44332211
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars55667788
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88776655

Conditions — 03/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1019.6 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From SE (144°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1019.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →